Know where your tracks are and don't forget to check the weather forecast! - Pace and Cap

Lythande · 07-20-2018, 05:05 PM

Well, today was a learning experience. Without RDSS, I am currently using the BRISnet free software and data files. It was a big help in filtering for pace lines and identifying running styles. But I had to input data to my Excel template and ran out of time analyzing the day's card.

I got two races done with the decision model and three were still on paper notes. So i was a little hasty when i placed my bets today before work.

Once at work I checked nyrabets.com. Found two of my contenders were scratched. Had to cancel those bets and change things up. Discovered this track did not have a DRF Quick sheet to buy. Watched the first race and was stoked when my choice won. And that was a maiden claiming. My choice in the second race came in third.

Then I noticed the image quality in the videos was deteriorating. Was that bad reception? No, much to my horror, it was rain. And not a little. It was pouring.

Frankly, i should have canceled the rest of my bets and walked away. My contender in the third race won. But in races 4 and 5 they were both near last in the field.

So then, stupid me, I finally check the weather. Gulfstream Park was enjoying 83 degrees, 91% humidity, and rain.

When I was in the army training in Georgia , this Calif girl learned that outdoor work ceased when the humidity was high, even when the temp was only 75 deg. And my one visit to Disney World that Sept was memorable more for the twice annual flight of the lovebugs coating every vehicle and outdoor surface, like box meals.

It wasn't a total loss. Three of my five contenders finished in the money and I recooped half of what I spent. More I proved to myself that The Method did work, given the time and software to shorten prep time.

I am working on a new Excel template that will crunch up to the decision model. But it is a little time consuming at this stage, as I am converting horizontal data to vertical data. Once complete it will convert an entire day of races at one track into data I can then customize minimally before commencing analysis.

I had hoped to jump on Saratoga tomorrow but it is more important that I finish this template. Also need to revise my checklist to include checking the weather before I bet, checking scratches early, and avoiding tracks that the DRF doesn't fully cover.

Heavy sigh. Make no mistake, I am enjoying this learning experience. It's challenging, yes, but very satisfying when one's analysis hits the mark. I nailed 3 of 5 today. Yippee!

07-20-2018, 05:05 PM	#1
Lythande AlwNW2X Join Date: Jul 2018 Location: Calif Posts: 27	Know where your tracks are and don't forget to check the weather forecast! Well, today was a learning experience. Without RDSS, I am currently using the BRISnet free software and data files. It was a big help in filtering for pace lines and identifying running styles. But I had to input data to my Excel template and ran out of time analyzing the day's card. I got two races done with the decision model and three were still on paper notes. So i was a little hasty when i placed my bets today before work. Once at work I checked nyrabets.com. Found two of my contenders were scratched. Had to cancel those bets and change things up. Discovered this track did not have a DRF Quick sheet to buy. Watched the first race and was stoked when my choice won. And that was a maiden claiming. My choice in the second race came in third. Then I noticed the image quality in the videos was deteriorating. Was that bad reception? No, much to my horror, it was rain. And not a little. It was pouring. Frankly, i should have canceled the rest of my bets and walked away. My contender in the third race won. But in races 4 and 5 they were both near last in the field. So then, stupid me, I finally check the weather. Gulfstream Park was enjoying 83 degrees, 91% humidity, and rain. When I was in the army training in Georgia , this Calif girl learned that outdoor work ceased when the humidity was high, even when the temp was only 75 deg. And my one visit to Disney World that Sept was memorable more for the twice annual flight of the lovebugs coating every vehicle and outdoor surface, like box meals. It wasn't a total loss. Three of my five contenders finished in the money and I recooped half of what I spent. More I proved to myself that The Method did work, given the time and software to shorten prep time. I am working on a new Excel template that will crunch up to the decision model. But it is a little time consuming at this stage, as I am converting horizontal data to vertical data. Once complete it will convert an entire day of races at one track into data I can then customize minimally before commencing analysis. I had hoped to jump on Saratoga tomorrow but it is more important that I finish this template. Also need to revise my checklist to include checking the weather before I bet, checking scratches early, and avoiding tracks that the DRF doesn't fully cover. Heavy sigh. Make no mistake, I am enjoying this learning experience. It's challenging, yes, but very satisfying when one's analysis hits the mark. I nailed 3 of 5 today. Yippee!