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Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum General Handicapping Discussion |
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02-27-2006, 02:47 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Computer generated " ESP" / Race Shapes/ Power Plays
There are basically 2 types of race shapes
1) Positional ( Quirin speed points, visual matchup etc) 2) Computer generated by our software ( Validator, Speculator, Synthesis etc) This first post is about the computer generated kind. More specifically race shapes designated as "Other than Early" by the ESP readout involving the SPRINT distances. After selecting pacelines reduce the field to your normal number of final contenders. I reduce to 5. Then I look on the primary screen to see if there is a horse who shows nothing but 4 and 5 rankings. If there is I throw his ass out leaving 4 ok? Check the ESP of the contenders that are left. If you see NO contender with the "EAR" or "E/P" designation the race shape for THIS sprint is other than early. In THESE race types the following corrolaries are showing to be very powerful predictors in helping identify the winner: LPR HE L/EP After identifying the top horses in the above categories use the e/l graph to confirm WIN energy. You are NOT gonna see a lot of these races but when you do you will have an advantage cause the public can't see what we can relating to what I have written above ok? They see a sprint and automatically go right to early speed.They are brainwashed like that and for us it will be a beautiful thing. You will catch them off guard and cash good priced winners. Couple of tips where you might find these races: 1) 10k claimers and higher. 2) 3 and up open allowance races ( NOT nw1,nw2) 3) overnight handicaps 4) stakes Good Hunting! Richie Last edited by RichieP; 02-27-2006 at 02:56 PM. |
02-27-2006, 03:51 PM | #2 |
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Posts: 4,151
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Richie,Good post lots of helpful insight.Shoeless
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02-27-2006, 08:00 PM | #3 |
Former member
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Also, race shapes are more than the group of runners that are in the race, like this track generated one from Sunday.
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02-28-2006, 05:28 AM | #4 | |
Administrator
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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Quote:
I will look for them and see what happens I don't see too many at Philly. I might if I follow your guidelines and throw out that only 4's and 5's types |
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04-02-2006, 06:10 PM | #5 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Bump
Quote:
Here are the horses from yesterdays 7th race at Aqu. showing the best race in last 3 with NO regard for layoffs. |
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04-02-2006, 06:12 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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hiding to top 5 total energy and line score we see this on bl/bl
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04-02-2006, 06:15 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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we see NO "ear" or "e/p" in THIS race right? ok go back to the opening post and see what to look for in these VERY RARE races.
LPR HE L/EP here is the corrolary screen showing LPR and HE We see the 10 and 11 as the horses |
04-02-2006, 06:17 PM | #8 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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next we check for "L/ep" on the en gen screen
here we see the 10 and 5 this 10 is showing up everywhere so far in the top 2 right? |
04-02-2006, 06:23 PM | #9 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Final suggestion in opening post is to "use the e/l graph to confirm win energy" which in these RARE RACES is late
look who we see as not only late but the counterenergy horse ( lone late) our old friend the 10 ummm no matter who your 2nd bet might be to assume the 10 would be your PRIMARY focus wouldnt be a stretch would it? Winner ? # 10 - $ 45.60 check it out. Rare race shape exclusive tools to us blind betting public as to what we see HAMMER TIME |
04-02-2006, 08:07 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 708
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oddities but they do happen
this one ALMOST qualified for "two lines better than the field"
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