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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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02-04-2018, 10:30 AM | #11 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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4 score and seven years ago
Quote:
I will add that to my list via Karen It's all about the 4 I love this kind of graded races , when the morning line favorite is 3/1 You don't see that in SOCAL too much of Baffert will be bet no matter what |
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02-04-2018, 10:59 AM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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9 horse
Just curious Bill why you did not give the 9 horse a line. His last line was a plus line.
Bob |
02-04-2018, 12:41 PM | #13 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Graded
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02-04-2018, 03:15 PM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Thanks
Bill, makes sense. So you are basically using FTL guidelines
Bob |
02-05-2018, 06:05 AM | #15 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Quote:
Yes FTL's guidelines are a BIG part of my PACELINE and CONTENDER selection methods. As you may know from reading the very early Follow Ups, Doc loved graphs and pie charts My total method could best be described using a pie chart The biggest slice for me is believing in myself I will win this race The next big slice would be to start from the last line and take the best line of the last 3, The next big slice would be the FTL guidelines I would use a even bigger slice for FTL's guidelines If I was nearly as good as FTL is understanding the conditions of races. This slice just gets bigger over time. I work and analyze many races everyday. I practice my understandings of conditions and ask questions after races and analyzing races done by others. Another slice for me is analyzing the readouts, I use TPR/Phase 1 but since my recent medical issues and the terrible toll the medications took on my ability to stay focused and alert, I have gone to focusing on the RX3 factor and the tote Xray readouts and modeling using the modeling tools from RDSS. The last slice of the pie is the Match Up lessons by Hat and Richie Bless Bill |
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02-06-2018, 07:03 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Pembroke Pines, FL
Posts: 170
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Nice hit. I had the winner as well but did not get the Place horse as its lines were more than 90 days old. This is the kind of solid mutuel that Doc always said was the bread and butter of every wagering method because you need to consistently catch these 8 dollar winners to stay even or slightly ahead while awaiting the larger score opportunities that are rarer but out there.
Neil |
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