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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ... |
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11-19-2017, 08:05 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,156
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Horses Going Up In Class After Win
Since I was on a roll I decided to see how horses moving up in class after a win fared. Again the tracks were Parx,Bel, Aqu and FL. Here are the results
Horses Wins Places Shows Off The Board 100 17 19 12 52 Once again not a great win %. Tim
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11-19-2017, 08:36 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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The better ones are those that are high up in your readouts and have multiple wins.
As usual the distance and surface must be correct , better if a fresh horse and also a reasonable step up considering its record. Some better ones also are those where you can pinpoint the reason for improvement such as a surface , trainer change etc. 48 % in the money is good for the gimmick bets plus they usually have very good odds to go with that. Determining where their competitive in todays affair is important, if their gapped by 10 or 12 lengths in TPR their really up against it for the win but if only say 6 lengths an improving horse may do that. Look at the whole picture. Nice work Tim, Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 11-19-2017 at 08:51 AM. |
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