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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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01-14-2023, 06:47 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,169
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Aqu R9 1-14 Longshot EX Hit
Played the BIG A today. Managed to hit 2 good exs including this one. Once again an RMATH LSP made for a good score. Here were my picks for the day
On Sat., Jan. 14, 2023, 8:06 a.m. Here are mine R1 6431 MDNS R2 2651 R3 2E741 LS6 R4 6543 LS2 R5 5372 LS1 MDNS R6 PASS R7 28674 LS3 R8 13254 R9 3-5-11-2-8 LS10 The winning ticket Jan 14 3:36:57 PM Complete Aqueduct 9 Exacta $2.00 2,3,5,10,11/2,3,5,10,11 $32.00 $108.500 $76.50 The res Timults was 10[$32.20]5,8,7 The screen shots As you can see the 10 tiers as the #1 non contender. On the bl/bl screen it has some corollary support ie #1ep[the dominate factor for this distance at Aqu], #1 tt[also a dominate factor at Aqu] and #3 csr. On the RX screen it tiers 5th vdc & 3rd csr the classic Rmath LSP. I hope by now that you are looking at non contenders for RMATH LSP. Make it a habit.
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01-14-2023, 07:00 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,169
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I forgot to mention that in both of its' previous wins it got the lead at the 2c. Today it figured to get it at the ist which it did although the 3 did pass it slightly just past the 1st call. The 10 then retook lead at the far turn and cruised from there
Tim
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01-14-2023, 07:01 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Rmath
Tim refresh my memory on the LSP
Bob |
01-14-2023, 07:06 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,169
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Sure thing Bob. Richies' LSP is any NON=CONTENDER that tiers in the top 5 of both CSR &VDC[see screen shot. That's it pretty simple. I find the ones with corollary support on the bl/bl screen are the more dangerous and the ones I use in exotics most
Tim
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01-14-2023, 07:59 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 134
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Why was the 9 not even in your top 5 ?
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01-14-2023, 10:01 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,169
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Just a call ie str loss. up in class after loss,014 at Aqu.
Tim
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01-14-2023, 10:43 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,169
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Jim actually it was the 5th tiered horse but I only went with my top 4 plus LSP. Anyway I didn't use it for reasons above although I screwed up since the str loss shouldn't have been charged since it was going a fur shorter today.
Tim
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01-15-2023, 11:46 AM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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I worked this race and by the time I finished it was underway. My top two were the 10 and 5 along with the 3 and 9.
The 10 was back in 17 days off a BIG Win (even from a race at Penn Natl), had a work in between and had been worked steadily between starts, was close up at all calls. I was really bummed about missing the start, so using the Scott factors worked the next race from Tampa 9 - #7 at 8.4/1, another BIG win, close up at every call, four super works between last races (see below - 96, 98, 88, 94). Last race at 42 days It took a little while to get used to applying the various standards, but well worth the effort. With a little more experience all of that should happen a little quicker. Thanks again Tim, Mick and Mitch |
01-15-2023, 12:29 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,169
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Nice work Bill. The more you work races you will find yourself zipping right thru factors.
Tim
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01-15-2023, 09:26 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Thornhill ON
Posts: 437
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Exactly like every race has likely target and with long priced horses.
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