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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 01-14-2023, 06:47 PM   #1
Lt1
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Aqu R9 1-14 Longshot EX Hit

Played the BIG A today. Managed to hit 2 good exs including this one. Once again an RMATH LSP made for a good score. Here were my picks for the day
On Sat., Jan. 14, 2023, 8:06 a.m.
Here are mine
R1 6431 MDNS
R2 2651
R3 2E741 LS6
R4 6543 LS2
R5 5372 LS1 MDNS
R6 PASS
R7 28674 LS3
R8 13254
R9 3-5-11-2-8 LS10
The winning ticket
Jan 14 3:36:57 PM Complete Aqueduct 9 Exacta $2.00 2,3,5,10,11/2,3,5,10,11 $32.00 $108.500 $76.50
The res
Timults was 10[$32.20]5,8,7
The screen shots
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As you can see the 10 tiers as the #1 non contender. On the bl/bl screen it has some corollary support ie #1ep[the dominate factor for this distance at Aqu], #1 tt[also a dominate factor at Aqu] and #3 csr. On the RX screen it tiers 5th vdc & 3rd csr the classic Rmath LSP. I hope by now that you are looking at non contenders for RMATH LSP. Make it a habit.
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Old 01-14-2023, 07:00 PM   #2
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I forgot to mention that in both of its' previous wins it got the lead at the 2c. Today it figured to get it at the ist which it did although the 3 did pass it slightly just past the 1st call. The 10 then retook lead at the far turn and cruised from there
Tim
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Old 01-14-2023, 07:01 PM   #3
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Rmath

Tim refresh my memory on the LSP

Bob
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Old 01-14-2023, 07:06 PM   #4
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Sure thing Bob. Richies' LSP is any NON=CONTENDER that tiers in the top 5 of both CSR &VDC[see screen shot. That's it pretty simple. I find the ones with corollary support on the bl/bl screen are the more dangerous and the ones I use in exotics most
Tim
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Old 01-14-2023, 07:59 PM   #5
57viking
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Why was the 9 not even in your top 5 ?
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Old 01-14-2023, 10:01 PM   #6
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Just a call ie str loss. up in class after loss,014 at Aqu.
Tim
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Old 01-14-2023, 10:43 PM   #7
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Jim actually it was the 5th tiered horse but I only went with my top 4 plus LSP. Anyway I didn't use it for reasons above although I screwed up since the str loss shouldn't have been charged since it was going a fur shorter today.
Tim
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Old 01-15-2023, 11:46 AM   #8
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I worked this race and by the time I finished it was underway. My top two were the 10 and 5 along with the 3 and 9.

The 10 was back in 17 days off a BIG Win (even from a race at Penn Natl), had a work in between and had been worked steadily between starts, was close up at all calls.

I was really bummed about missing the start, so using the Scott factors worked the next race from Tampa 9 - #7 at 8.4/1, another BIG win, close up at every call, four super works between last races (see below - 96, 98, 88, 94). Last race at 42 days

It took a little while to get used to applying the various standards, but well worth the effort. With a little more experience all of that should happen a little quicker.

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Thanks again Tim, Mick and Mitch
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Old 01-15-2023, 12:29 PM   #9
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Nice work Bill. The more you work races you will find yourself zipping right thru factors.
Tim
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Old 01-15-2023, 09:26 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lt1 View Post
Nice work Bill. The more you work races you will find yourself zipping right thru factors.
Tim
Exactly like every race has likely target and with long priced horses.
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