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Old 08-27-2012, 11:09 AM   #41
Bill V.
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Test race#6

This race is from Parx race 7 monday 2/27
same test method as above
The distance of the race is 6.5 but all my contenders are from 6.0
The 4 horse is a shipper from FG and Saratoga



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Last edited by Bill V.; 08-27-2012 at 11:12 AM.
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Old 08-27-2012, 11:37 AM   #42
Bill V.
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Parx Adjusted

Parx 7

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Old 08-27-2012, 12:36 PM   #43
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Bill,

Syn 2 according to Purdy works best when all horses have like distances
as pacelines.

If you were averging them hope you didnt include shipper's time.
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Old 08-27-2012, 01:24 PM   #44
Bill V.
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Distance

Hi Jeff

Yes I made that mistake. I did include the 4's 2nd call and final time
for the set up time averages

I will be aware of this going forward
thanks for the help

Bill
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Old 08-27-2012, 01:54 PM   #45
alydar_ David
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The track is closed. However, I did the race anyway to point out a few things. Hopefully, I can finish this thread before a cow goes flying by my window. To say it's windy in South Florida right now would be the understatement of the year.

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Old 08-27-2012, 02:16 PM   #46
alydar_ David
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August 27 -- Philadelphia 7th

http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_vi...ate=2012-08-27

The #8 horse is scratched.

For illustrative purposes I'm rating every horse in the race. These are the pacelines I used.

#1 4-back
#2 2-back
#3 last race
#4 3-back "Yes" to shipper, class adjustment 0.07
#5 2-back "Yes" to shipper, class adjustment 0.35
#6 last race
#7 6-back

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Old 08-27-2012, 02:27 PM   #47
alydar_ David
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Here is the same race with the non-contenders weeded out.

Oops, I forgot to mention the setup.

I used the Philly 6F track record of 107 3/5.
For the second call I used #1's fourth race back, 44 3/5
For the final time I used #4's third race back, 109 4/5

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To bet this race without a track profile I'd look at the top two in:
FW #4 #1
TT #1 #4 #7
DR #4 #1 #2

Now if you look at the actual turn time fractions you see:
#1 56.54
#4 56.31
#7 56.29

So by ranking #4 and #7 are tied, but by fractions there is a 0.02 difference.
#4 gets the nod.

Therefore, the win bets would be on #1 and #4.
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Old 08-28-2012, 12:32 AM   #48
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David,

Dont understand why you would use a shippers final time in the
setup.


Jeff
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Old 08-28-2012, 09:07 AM   #49
alydar_ David
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shoeless View Post
David,

Dont understand why you would use a shippers final time in the
setup.


Jeff
Good catch, Jeff. I should have used #3 Terralba's last race from PRX 6f for the final time: 110.

I made a mistake, that's all. Was trying to get it all done whilst the hurricane was attempting to blow my windows out and I wanted to finish before I lost power again.
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Old 08-28-2012, 11:18 AM   #50
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I thought so
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