Pattern Recognition

[For The Lead]

In the 4th race at PEN (7.10.09) the winner at $21.40 ran 2nd in its' race 2 back and way out of the money in its' last race.

Take note, in the race 2 back, the distance was 6F dirt, while the last race was 8F turf.
Today's race is the same dist/surf and condition as the race 2 back.
It always "helps" the ANGLE when there is a legitimate reason for the horses' bad last race.

[For The Lead]

"THE ANGLE" strikes again on 7.10.09. This time at MNR in the 7th race at $109.00!!!

ran 2nd two back
ran horrible last out
one 'little' note. a look at the horses' last 5 races show that the worst one was it's last at 6F. the other four were at 5.5F
today's distance? 5.5F!

alright, the horse was an 0 for 35 (professional maiden)
alright, the jockey was 1 for 87

Who cares? we're watching "THE ANGLE" !!

[SilentRun]

It looks like the angle produces very nice mutuals.

Were the angle winners at PEN & MNR within the top 5 RDSS or Spec160
contenders ? For I am throwing out any pattern recognition horse that
are out of the top 5 contenders. This may be an incorrect assumption on my
part.
This may be a phenomenon that just happens and is out of the
boundaries of the Sartin Methodology. If the stats show a positive R.O.I.,
and from what I have seen so far these horses produce nice prices, then
I guess you just go with it.


Thanks,

Ernie

[mikesal57]

nice going FTL....

I think Barb fainted when she read this...I did!!

[barb craven]

Nice Ernie!
I nearly did Mike. I only did 2 of the earlier races at MNR last night.

I only use them if they are in my top 3 tiers on the BL screen. and pay good mutuals. I didn't do them yesterday so I don't know where they were - sorry.

[mikesal57]

Barb , if you still have the races from Mtr from last nite, maybe you can give us a screen shot of the 7th race $109 winner's just as if you would have capped it .


thxs

mike

[barb craven]

Ernie - in RDSS

PEN July 10 race 4- 5 was in 3rd tier BL.
MNR race 7 - if you hide the 3 for low odds, your 2 is in tier 3, but tied for 1st in VDC

[mikesal57]

there it is guys...Barb just showed you the money!!

tier 3 LONGSHOTS

thxs Barb

[mikesal57]

On Pattern recognition

An old friend from Pace & Cap gave me this angle a long time ago..
I filed it away and I'm now kicking my self for not following up on it as I see in many horses PP's wining and paying good prices..


It is RAY TAULBOT's "A" angle....heres the emailed that I saved..


here the "A" angle to the fullest:

The A angle deals with horse's last 2 races; it is composed of a good next to last race (2 races back) in which the horse finished in the money, followed by an easy conditioning race last start.
It should be clear that a relationship between 2 race back and the last race exist ONLY when 2 races back was run at a comparatively recent date. So the more recently the 2 race back was run the better.

The angle has real value ONLY when the speed rating for the last race, as compared to the speed rating for 2 races back reveals that the horse has not gone completely off form since turning in the good 2 races back.

The A angle has winning power ONLY when the speed rating for the last race is no more than 10 points below the speed rating earned 2 races back.

The A angle becomes a POWER angle when the horse is entered today for a class or price (claiming races) no higher then the class of its last race.

When the horse is entered for a class or price (claiming races) lower than its entered class or price in 2 races back, the angle takes on even greater strength.

Now don't run to the window just because the A angle. Angles are only used to add or detract to the horse ratings.


mike

[SilentRun]

Thanks, Barb, for the info.

That is good news, the program is coming up with solid contenders that are
completely hidden from the public.

Ernie