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06-23-2019, 02:30 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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TPR Race 5 Belmont
Hello Jeff and Pace and Cap
By request here is a race analysis using TPR/Phase 1 The race is race 5 from Belmont Hello, This is not a great race to demo. It is for 3-year-olds going 7 furlongs on the turf I singled the 6 in my pick 4 But let's see who has a chance for some win bets. The 6 has a six-point advantage in TPR. The fulcrum horse is the #2 with a moderate 84 EPR The 5 has the top EPR with a 90.3 The next best EPR is horse 8 with an 87 So at the second call, it should be 6, 5, and 8 Because the 8 shows the worst of these 3 and runs morse early energy excursion and his VDC is the 4th rank VDC I will eliminate the 8 So the epr says 6 and 5 Now, who can catch them? The top LPR is horse 6 he has a 7 point advantage over the 2 I have already eliminated the 8 So now its between the 5,2, and 3 The 3 is 5/2 and has a paceline from a mile turf race But his VDC and TPR has him to for below the 5 and 6 The 2 Has a paceline that is from the same distance and surface as today's race He is close but his 4.7 VDC and 15/1 morning line are worth noting. Since I have the 6 single in my pick 4 I will go with 5 and 2 for backup win bets Last edited by Bill V.; 06-24-2019 at 06:45 PM. |
06-23-2019, 04:03 PM | #2 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Juggle
Quote:
Doc must have been talking to me when he said " some people do best only juggling on a few factors, that is why Phase 1 TPR works so well . |
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06-23-2019, 04:14 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Nice call on that #5 horse as a backup horse Bill. Glad to see you using V/DC in your analysis. Best of luck going forward today.
Mitch44 |
06-23-2019, 04:48 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,125
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Nice hit Bill
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
06-23-2019, 06:16 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Thanks for the race Bill and nice hit
Jeff |
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