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04-22-2011, 12:03 PM | #11 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Penn
Tandems
1-7 1Mar11 Pen 5.5 22.4 46.4 59 105.9 72 2-6 10Jan Pen 6.0 22.4 45.8 58.8 112.5 79 4-3 5Mar Pen 6.0 22.1 45.1 58 111.6 94 The 5 is my key horse. Its a Pure Early Has the FPLR on the lead 21.9 44.7 57.1 109.8 Question ? two very strong races then layed up for 128 days will it come back to run that pace? that said I will use the 4-3 5March Tandem race as the Projected pace of race 22.1 45.1 58 104.2 From Hat chart Running Style Powerlines Pure Early Horse 5 Twosteps Closer 22.4 45.6 106.0 from line 2 Horse 7 Flying Son 22.3 45.6 105.6 from line 1 FPLR Early and E/P Horse 2 Jules Caesar 22.2 46.4 105.3 From line 3 E/P Horse 1 Master Mariner 22.4 46.4 105.8 line 1 Horse 3 Ready For Duty 22.1 45.5 104.9 line 2 S/P Horse 6 Love Treasures 22.6 45.8 105.9 Line 2 Horse 4 Consort 22.1 45.1 105.4 line 2 Sus None Matching Horses with the 2 earlys with slower powerlines and multible pressers I see the race OTE Horse 5-7 Early out Horse 6 out Horse 1 2 could win with a slower pace not today Horse 3 can pass horses has won from position 6 and the 5-7 fast early pace could turn the 4-3 tandem around matching horses My bets are the 3 and 4 GS Bill |
04-22-2011, 04:50 PM | #12 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hawtorne
workup of Hawthorne race
Horses lines on the lead or within 1 bl while trying for lead Code:
hawthorne Br Pos. By Fin. Pass horses Horse 1 E and E/P Line 7 2 2 -.5 1 Yes Line 5 1 1 -.hd 2 No Line 4 2 2 -.5 3 Yes Line 1 3 2 -.5 2 Yes Horse 2 SUS Line 2 1 2 -.hd 5 No Horse 3 Early Line 10 1 1 -1 2 Yes Line 9 2 1 -.5 1 Yes Line 7 4 2 -.hd 1 Yes Line 3 3 1 - 1 2 yes Line 1 1 2 -.5 2 Yes Horse 4 Early Line10 1 1 - 1 1 No W/W Line9 2 1 - 1 2 Yes Line7 2 2 -.5 3 No Line2 1 1 - 1 1 no W/W Line1 1 2 -.hd 1 No W/W 5. SUS 6. SUS Horse 7 Early Line9 4 2 -.5 1 Yes Line8 4 2 -.5 1 Yes Line7 2 1 - 1.5 1 Yes Line5 2 1 - 2.5 1 Yes Line4 1 1 -.5 2 No Line3 1 2 -.hd 5 No Line1 1 1 -.5 4 No Horse 8 Early Line9 1 1 - 2 1 No W/W Line7 2 2 -.5 4 No Line5 1 1 - 1 2 No Line4 2 1 -.5 5 Yes Line3 1 1 - 1 4 No Line2 1 1 - 1.5 1 No W/W Line1 3 1 - 1.5 1 No W/W |
04-22-2011, 06:19 PM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: I live in Toronto, Ontario, can
Posts: 220
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Hi to all. I have been away for a while.
I like #5 to win. I will not bet it because I think he is going to be less than even money. But if he goes off at 2-1 or more I will bet it. The 5 comes out of the fastest pace in its last race amd I have had many winners from this type of race. I have won about 5 out of every 10 races. So, this is the one that I pick to win. |
04-22-2011, 06:22 PM | #14 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Quote:
EM( or ever else wants to answer)...tell me what you see about the 5 horse???(hint:not the PP's)
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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04-22-2011, 06:38 PM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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I'm going with the 2 & 4
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
04-22-2011, 07:36 PM | #16 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Mike
Nice big win Mike 5/1 on the 2
pattern 2 or 3 early - wins from pos. 4 4 2 1 |
04-22-2011, 07:44 PM | #17 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: I live in Toronto, Ontario, can
Posts: 220
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Mike
nice pick!!!! |
04-22-2011, 08:29 PM | #18 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Way to go Mike!
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04-22-2011, 08:39 PM | #19 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
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Quote:
I looked at the #5 very hard since it was the favorite and I always want to know if I can beat the favorite. The first thing I saw was that the #5 had not run a race in more than 4 months. I have posted many times that 95% of all winners have run a race in the last 90 days. Equally as bad, this is a favorite that is now a 3 year old running against older horses and, in fact, has never run against anything but 2 year olds!! What a bad bet for those many people that bet this horse. It certainly pays to understand horse racing.
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"It's suppose to be hard. If it was easy, everybody would do it." Jimmy Dugan, A League of Their Own |
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04-22-2011, 08:42 PM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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thxs gentleman....
what I was trying to say before... look at #5.....he last raced vs 2 year olds..now hes racing against 4 yr olds Even though he looks good , in this race he would be moving up and be a reasonable doubt to win this..there was a few "earlies" in this so he wouldn't have it easy up front either All in all a good race to bet against the favorite mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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