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Old 09-04-2015, 10:14 PM   #11
KBROD
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saratoga.....i like the z pattern move on the #5 mylute....1 1/4 showed early speed....1 1/8 came closing with a huge number...pace looks hot up front today....win...#2 @ #5...as said above here.#.2 speed of the speed...did his last race take a little out of him
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Old 09-04-2015, 10:32 PM   #12
KBROD
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Just a side race..sar. Race 8..#8 nonnas boy 8/1..lone speed...w/p
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Old 09-04-2015, 11:13 PM   #13
mowens33
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Wood 2
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Old 09-05-2015, 08:11 AM   #14
The Pook
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Hey Mikey, welcome back! It is hard to see but is that the trophy you won for the contest last year with RDSS?

Pook
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Old 09-05-2015, 10:26 AM   #15
The Pook
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Woodbine Race 2

The 2 is the only horse to have been on the lead at the first call. But that was on turf. I want to say that 5 will be the lead horse but 2 could put pressure on him and give him the same problems as last race.

Then again the 2 is mostly paceless. Will the 5 who fought through two calls have the extra energy to finish today with no pressure early.

Maybe. I don't feel confident about what is going to happen early on the lead. I see no reliable early speed. FPLR points to 3 and 5 and could be the answer in pretty much a no pace race.

Don't know.

PASS
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Old 09-05-2015, 11:21 AM   #16
The Pook
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Saratoga Race 10

I have four Earlies in here. 2,4,6,8 with the (4) a need to lead. A lot of early pressure. This is why I chose this race. I think the 2 (Liams Map) goes for the lead but with more pressure than last time. He ran faster than he needed to and gave it up. He didn't have many competitors going for the front with him. May be worse this time?

The 8 can run OTE also and can handle the projected pace. The 7 can handle the pace and runs OTE. Positionally I like the 8.

I had an interesting PM conversation with (For The Lead) this week in which he pointed out to me the low win rates (5%) of horses coming off layoffs of over 90 days garnered from his database. That makes me take pause on backing the 8. However I think that applies less to stakes horses and 8 is at only 127 days. Also 8 has won from 234 days. I may have to eat my words.

So I really hate to go against Liams Map and he may hang on and fry me this time but from a Matchup perspective I think things have changed for Liams.

Chime in and disagree including (For The Lead) and throw up your own perspective. Thats what this is all about.

I land on the 7 and 8..

7,8 for the WIN

Pook

Last edited by The Pook; 09-05-2015 at 11:25 AM.
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Old 09-05-2015, 12:00 PM   #17
The Pook
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Saratoga Race 10

I read the posts above mine. I think we will all be in agreement. From a Matchers perspective the Earlies are in trouble here. It seems pretty obvious.
Does anything support an Early going all the way? Like I said maybe the 8 which can also run from off. But a wire to wire?

I don't see it.

Pook
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Old 09-05-2015, 12:29 PM   #18
PeteC
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Saratoga

Agree that OTE is the way to go here with 3 very fast earlies, but man the 2 and 6 are vicious. Nevertheless, I will go with the 7 to win OTE.
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Old 09-05-2015, 01:38 PM   #19
mowens33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Pook View Post
Hey Mikey, welcome back! It is hard to see but is that the trophy you won for the contest last year with RDSS?

Pook
Pook, Your right (Reality Bites) this game can be hard on the brain! Was going a little sour needed a rest!

Your right that’s from the Pace and Cap (RDSS) contest, I figured I’d get my ugly mag off and turn things around!!

Thanks for the welcome back!!!

Mike
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Old 09-05-2015, 04:07 PM   #20
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Sar 10
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