Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > RDSS
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Today's Posts

RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-06-2007, 11:22 PM   #41
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
Horse 4

Because of the poor APV CR
The only line i would think of using for # 4 is the last line
But Miss Ginalie ran way behind on a fast wet track(+12TV)
against this pace
Attached Images
 
admin is offline  
Old 02-06-2007, 11:57 PM   #42
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
horse 5

Because of the strong ratings I was ok to go down to line 4
222 days ago fro cby Speed rating 73-7
Attached Images
 
admin is offline  
Old 02-07-2007, 12:01 AM   #43
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
Horse 6

Same deal as horse 5 no problem to go to line 3
The color tells me it can run to this pace
Doing the APV CR rating I noticed the money box
for this one 20 - 2 6 4
Attached Images
 
admin is offline  
Old 02-07-2007, 12:04 AM   #44
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
Horse 7 was scr horse 8

I can tell from the SR TV for the only line were it ran to todays pace
this one is a bit slow
line 3 from FL is all I can use
Attached Images
 
admin is offline  
Old 02-07-2007, 12:06 AM   #45
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
Bl_bl

Here is my BL_BL I added my win bets
# 6 Get On and #3 Redicul
and my readout comments to the screen shot
Attached Images
 

Last edited by admin; 02-07-2007 at 05:19 AM.
admin is offline  
Old 02-07-2007, 07:58 AM   #46
Ted Craven
Grade 1
 
Ted Craven's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,854
Bill,

In your usage of APV and Class Rating, after how many races in the current year would you stop combining the current and the previous year starts in the APV calculation, and begin only using the current year?

Ted
__________________

R
DSS -
Racing Decision Support System™
Ted Craven is offline  
Old 02-07-2007, 12:25 PM   #47
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
The Hat's look at the race for the matchup guys

I sent the pp's to Jim last night. Asked him if he could look at the race and comment on what he saw and his approach to the race. he said ok.

I felt VERY good when I heard his FIRST thoughts because it is the same line I showed as the power line.(he did NOT know what I had chosen fwiw)

The Hat:
" first thing when scrolling the horses that catches my eye is line 4 on the 6 horse Rich. Then I see line's 2 and 3 pace of race and I have the horse that someone has to beat. ok let's start with the 1 horse.

the 1 is too slow -out
the 2 is a slow router - out
the 3 stays in for now
the 4 is out
the 5 - if you accept line 4 you are buying the horse.the pp's show something has happened to the horse since then. look at the last line and then look at the lines on the bottom from this track. none of those lines get the horse -out
7- scratched
8 - too slow - out

We are left with the 6 and 3 to match and the 6 is clearly best as he will be ahead of the 3. 2 horse bettors should have the 6 and 3 here"

Jim Bradshaw
__________________
"Grampy I'm talking to you!"

Last edited by RichieP; 02-07-2007 at 12:28 PM.
RichieP is offline  
Old 02-07-2007, 06:31 PM   #48
admin
Administrator
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
6 races 1 win 1 place 1 show

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven View Post
Bill,

In your usage of APV and Class Rating, after how many races in the current year would you stop combining the current and the previous year starts in the APV calculation, and begin only using the current year?

Ted
Hi Ted
6 races is what I look for I will use 5 if I have to

Later in the year I use 5 races
admin is offline  
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Tampa Tuesday "Live" - Round 2 RichieP RDSS 37 01-31-2007 06:08 PM
NTRA - Mandatory Fg Race Friday - "Live" RichieP RDSS 14 01-26-2007 07:19 PM
Gulfstream "Live" Wednesday - Race 2 RichieP RDSS 25 01-25-2007 08:52 PM
Tampa Tuesday Live RichieP RDSS 21 01-16-2007 05:26 PM
A Decision Model that is Overwhelming / Tampa Bay 6f / Tool - "Vector" RichieP Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum 15 03-23-2006 02:41 AM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:09 PM.