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09-02-2020, 08:22 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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2020 KY Derby
2020 KY Derby Sat 9/5, post time 7:01 pm EDT:
r14: As 17-18, Bs 10-15-16, Cs 2-4-6, Xs 1-3-5-7-8-9-11-12-13-14: wide open, 18 needs the lead, will be challenged by 4 early, 2 and 17 best closers. Will be no value on 17 but is most probable winner Probable win bet value on 15 and 18. Mix and match As and Bs in exactas. Good luck Richard |
09-02-2020, 09:19 PM | #2 |
Conley
Join Date: Sep 2018
Location: Fergus, Canada
Posts: 1,777
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Good luck Richard!
Will post my picks either tomorrow or early Friday morning. If anyone is wondering where I have vanished, I am a active poster in the RX FORUM where I post horse and sports picks daily. Thanks CheckMark
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Life is an adventure, enjoy it and live every day as if it were your last- Barb Craven |
09-04-2020, 11:06 AM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
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I'm always curious to know why handicappers who sell their picks give you 3 horses for every race.
From Ray Taulbot: "During more than 45 years of turf activity I have yet to meet a man who attained consistent success through any means other than spot play operation. No mystery shrouds the reason for this. The hard, cold fact of the matter is that about 6 out of every 9 races run preclude a reasonable chance of naming the eventual winner in advance. The man who refuses to recognize this fact is inviting failure, disappointment and financial loss." These facts still hold true today. |
09-04-2020, 01:58 PM | #4 |
Conley
Join Date: Sep 2018
Location: Fergus, Canada
Posts: 1,777
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Top 4 Picks for the Kentucky Derby:
#17 Tiz The Law 3/5- No doubt the best horse right now to win this race #18 Authentic 8-1- Has been working well to keep his form in tact #15 Ny Traffic 20-1- Saffie Joseph hoping for a itm finish on Saturday #7 money moves 30-1- Could be the one to upset the superfecta Exacta Box 7-15-17-18 Super 17-18/7-15-17-18/7-15-17-18/ALL Win 17 if more than 3/2+
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Life is an adventure, enjoy it and live every day as if it were your last- Barb Craven |
09-04-2020, 03:37 PM | #5 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Thornhill ON
Posts: 437
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You have to take a stand...
Quote:
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May all wagers be Winners... |
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09-04-2020, 04:17 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
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It’s easy to gain control when you keep records and learn by experience. Find out where your winners are coming from.
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09-05-2020, 10:26 AM | #7 | |
AlwNW2X
Join Date: Aug 2017
Posts: 25
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Quote:
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09-05-2020, 10:45 PM | #8 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 324
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Quote:
Currently, I'm part of that vast majority. If I put money on 25% of the races I analyze, overall that would be a lot. there are about 2-4 times a year I'll bet into about 20- 30 events a week, for at most 3 weeks at a time. Most weeks I don't crack 10, but I'm trying to change that with the help of RDSS. Also I'm looking into getting more involved in pick-4s and up. I know there are some out there who bet into 150+ events a week, every week; but almost all of them get rebates and still barely crack 8%ROI. So their volume of events and bankroll better be huge to make that worth it. The remaining of who play that much I doubt are doing it for much more than a hobby.
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just keeping my trajectory in the positive http://sartinmethodology.com/pubs/RD...d_Glossary.pdf |
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