|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Search | Today's Posts | Mark Forums Read
Selections Post Your Picks - 1 race or a card |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
09-02-2020, 07:55 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
|
2020 KY Oaks
2020 KY Oaks, Fri 9/4, post time 5:45 EDT:
r12: As 1-5, Bs 4, Cs 3-7, Xs 2-6-8-9: chalky, 5 needs the lead, wins if can control pace, 1 will press and can win if runs back to Jun 6 race, 4 also presses and will close, needs to run back to May 2 race, 3 needs to run back to Sept 28 race, probably not fast enough to win, 7 should run best race of life, but probably too slow to win, might use underneath, rest are too slow Bottom line: chalky race, will need to mix and match As, Bs, and Cs to create any semblance of value. Good luck Richard |
09-05-2020, 09:29 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
|
Comes 7-1-5
right idea looking at the 7 as a "C" contender, wrong idea thinking she too slow to win... Richard |
09-05-2020, 10:19 AM | #3 |
cratman
Join Date: May 2006
Location: DC area
Posts: 83
|
[QUOTE=rdiam;129440]Comes 7-1-5
right idea looking at the 7 as a "C" contender, wrong idea thinking she too slow to win... Would appreciate anything you would be willing to share on why the 7 was primed to be at the top of its form cycle. The 7 did "charge the gate" immediately before the race, but that was the only clue that I had. Thanks, Mark |
09-05-2020, 08:56 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
|
The 7 starts a new form cycle when she moves to Brad Cox barn in the race five back on Feb 15. She then improves in her race four back on March 7 in her first G3 win. After a layoff she reacts (bounces) in her race three back on May 1. She runs another quality fast race two back on June 5. Now here is the KEY: she reacts in her last race (even though she wins), but her reaction was LESS than the reaction between the race four back and the race three back. This smaller reaction (the sheets guys call it a "bounce") was a signal she was ready to run "the race of her life", or a new top, which in this case was good enough to win.
Hope this helps. Richard |
09-05-2020, 11:12 PM | #5 |
cratman
Join Date: May 2006
Location: DC area
Posts: 83
|
Thanks
Thanks Richard. That is very helpful.
Mark |
09-08-2020, 04:48 PM | #6 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
Quote:
Thanks, Much appreciated. |
|
09-11-2020, 02:40 PM | #7 | |
cratman
Join Date: May 2006
Location: DC area
Posts: 83
|
Quote:
|
|
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Day 24 DMR feature race Race 10 The Del Mar Oaks | Bill V. | Selections | 9 | 08-20-2017 02:49 PM |
Kentucky Oaks PPs - May 1 | mowens33 | Matchup Discussion | 0 | 04-29-2015 08:35 AM |
Grace Hall 5-2 favorite for the Kentucky Oaks | alydar_ David | General Discussion | 0 | 05-02-2012 09:31 AM |
Kentucky Oaks - Race 11 - Friday | Ted Craven | Kentucky Derby Weekend & Cheering on the RDSS Teams in the P.A.I.H.L. Contest Finale | 4 | 05-06-2011 06:20 PM |
HANA / Hollywood American Oaks | RichieP | Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum | 7 | 07-05-2009 08:06 PM |