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Old 07-29-2012, 11:18 PM   #41
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7/29 mtr race5

Really liked #1 here but was worried about the 7. As it turned out I concentrated on the wrong horses.
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Old 07-29-2012, 11:25 PM   #42
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july 29 mnr race7

I liked the #1 and #2 but switched to the #4 and #7 because of the odds. Always trust your first instincts.
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Old 07-29-2012, 11:32 PM   #43
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july 29 mnr race 8

Finally I made a good decision. This race also points up the power of the segment screen. I never make a bet without there being a strong pattern on this screen. The #2 had a good pattern but came from too far back and never fired anyway.
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Old 07-30-2012, 04:14 PM   #44
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July 31 sar race 7

$60 win #9, $40 win #2
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Old 07-30-2012, 04:42 PM   #45
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July 31 sar race 7

The #1 was the favorite and I did not like him at all. So looking at the rest of the field, the #2 immediately jumped out at me. He was strong in the bl/bl and had a strong pattern in the segment screen. Now I looked for a second horse and the #9 was in the top three for both hidden energy and FX. At Saratoga, it pays to be near the front but you still need a finishing kick--especially on the grass. In addition, he was #2 on the segment screen.
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Old 07-30-2012, 10:20 PM   #46
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July 31 mtr race 9

$60 win #5, $40 win #1
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Old 07-31-2012, 06:36 PM   #47
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7/31 pid race 4

$50 win #2, $50 win #7
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Old 07-31-2012, 07:05 PM   #48
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7/31 pid race 5

$70 win #1, $30 win #3
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Old 07-31-2012, 07:26 PM   #49
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7/31 pid race 4

This is a tale of how to talk oneself out of a $35 winner. First time handicapping the race I came up with the #4 and #6. These were 16-1 and 25-1 respectively. They both had everything required to win at PID and I was prepared to bet $60 win on the #4 and $40 win on the #6. Then I realized that the 2 and the 7 were an uncoupled entry trained by a friend of mine and shipping from Finger Lakes. After all, they ran well on the track previously and that is a long way to go for just a workout. The 7 is left at the gate and the 2 runs unusally fast early and tires dramatically in the stretch. Look at the result. Lesson: believe the program and don't get sentimental.
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Old 07-31-2012, 07:34 PM   #50
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7/31 pid race 5

Came back to my senses here. When you fall off a horse, get right back on (no pun intended). My two picks fit the profile for this racetrack. I split the bet differently due to the discrepancy in odds and cost myself some money.
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