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03-18-2014, 09:21 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Posts: 624
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Layoff ?
Why would claim a horse only to lay it off however it won it's last three races?
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Terry |
03-18-2014, 09:46 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Posts: 624
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Should have read Why would they claim
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Terry |
03-18-2014, 10:27 AM | #3 |
Maiden
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 3
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I could be wrong (of course) --but aren't claims put in prior to the race if so --maybe the horse came back to the barn a little bit lame.
and while the horse may win --he looks to me like this may be a race to give her a workout before stretching back out ... |
03-18-2014, 10:36 AM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hi
Hi Terry
Here is Mad's Sept 16th PP This is the race M. Moore made the claim from M.Pino. M,Pino had a nice filly but after a 6 week break dropped her down to a 5000 claimer She walked to a easy win at .70cents but nobody claimed her. Then M.Pino moved her "up" to $8000 She won again and M. Moore figured he could use a $5000-$8000 horse Oh by the way they do run Starter 5000 races at Parx so now M. Moore has a eligible horse for those races Now why the layoff ? I don't know but It does not look good on paper Today's race ? M. Moore has no wins training 4+F at 7 furlongs since 1/1/13 So this distance on the come back could look like a just a prep. In my 114 race database for 4 + F going 7 furlongs at Parx there have only been 2 winners who are off over a 90 day layoff 2 out of 114 The two long layoff horses were off 222 and 360 days all other 112 winners were returning in less than 82 days The #1 post has had 20 winners in the 114 races by far the best Today's race is for non winners of a race in 6 months so its not the greatest field ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Last edited by Bill V.; 03-18-2014 at 10:49 AM. |
03-18-2014, 11:59 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Posts: 624
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Thanks Guys.
I wasn't going to bet the 4 Bill, as you know layoffs are typically not a good bet (unless the horses name is Central Banker ).
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Terry |
03-18-2014, 01:39 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Winner
Hi Terry
The 4 ran 3rd. I know, and believe me its always the 4 horse The winner also was cutting back, The difference is the winner is back in 10 days. The class of this race is CL5000 non winners of 1 race in 6 months The race class is 84 whicj is average for Parx BUT the condition and the purse and claiming price makes it a bottom level race There is nothing lower at parx except the state bred version of this condition. There are a few horse in this race who are stuck here at this level The winner has a (+) line 10 days ago but has been running against much better Class and form are important at this level |
03-18-2014, 06:16 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 507
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FYI...Follow up #81 pg 34-35 ...Doc discusses layoffs...He says in order to be a valid contender a long layoff horse should rank no worse than #3 after hides...I look at the pp's to see if they have done it before....Centre Court won at GP last saturday with a 203 day L.O....had the field totally outclassed ...this happens often enough that I pay close attention to it.........keep records!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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