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RDSS 2.2 (and previous versions) Racing Decision Support System - The NEW Version 2.2 |
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03-31-2018, 01:08 PM | #51 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Summary and Averages of 108 race study
This is a Summary of Rx 3, F1 Phase 1 records from my Model
In the following post I have all 108 winners listed, along with their ratings Headings are: Winning Horse Name Win Price Rx 3 Ranking RX 3 probability Percentage EPR LPR TPR, Last edited by Bill V.; 04-01-2018 at 02:07 AM. |
03-31-2018, 01:39 PM | #52 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Mistake
Thank you Mitch for spotting a error
The Average Win$ for the # 1 EPR is $13.25 I had 2 horses in my model double entered I will edit the charts above Here is the breakdown of The horses ranked # 1 EPR and their payouts That $48 winner Mongolian Shopper helps boost the average Blessings Bill |
04-01-2018, 02:13 AM | #53 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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108 race Study Chart
Races in study 2/24/18 to 3/30/18
Non maiden races only. At least 6 runners All Distance Tracks Aqu, Penn, PRX, GP, Tampa, FG, SA, and GG. |
04-01-2018, 04:03 AM | #54 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Update 118 races
Update of Phase 1 rankings / Average win prices
Total races 118 68 Sprints 50 Routes The # 1 EPR horse leads the way in value thanks to 3 nice winners The LPR in a route race is almost 100%. 49 of 50 races in the top 5 Last edited by Bill V.; 04-01-2018 at 04:07 AM. |
04-13-2018, 11:11 AM | #55 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,091
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aqu database results on dirt for me rx2 ranks #1 for me 85% overall with 89% route and 84% sprint. rx3 81% overall with 86% route and 80% sprint. That is thru 87 racess.
aqu database results on grass. rx1,rx2 and rx3 are all 100% but only 9 races so far. Using best preceptor of last 3 and at least 6 runners and winners in the top 4.
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
04-21-2018, 09:46 PM | #56 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 168
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Hello Bill
I like that hat! Reminds me of the one my grandfather used to wear when he would take my as a young kid to the race track. Sadly the last track here in Michigan suddenly closed a few weeks ago with no notice of any kind! NO CLASS WITH THESE PEOPLE! any way a question for you when you get the time What factors do you model from RDSS? I measure almost ALL the readouts but find BALANCE AND VD/C the most predictive for me. I think it's getting to be over kill for me==way too many to look at and list. When ever you can as I know you're not 100% yet. Health is so much more important than horses! Be well and think positive! Papa John |
05-18-2018, 05:54 PM | #57 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,091
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Belmont 2018
Still a small sample, but in 50 races so far at Belmont, the winner has been in the top 4 win odds 90% of the time.
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
06-14-2018, 05:49 PM | #58 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,091
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My Belmont database is now up to 141 races. The winner is in the top 4 win odds horses 87% of the time. That is at all distances and all surfaces and using standard best of last three preceptor.
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
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