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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It?

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Old 12-04-2016, 09:04 PM   #1
The Pook
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M4$16/2 Dec 10-Capcondo

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Old 12-09-2016, 05:02 PM   #2
Capcondo
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FG #12 State Bred Stakes

13 of your favorite La Breds going 6 furlongs. Post time is 6:21 EST. Weather is good for both Friday and Saturday. Track is fast today (Friday)

Good Luck.

FG #12.pdf
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Old 12-10-2016, 02:01 PM   #3
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#12 to WIN and PLACE.

21.5 / 44.4 / 109.2 (TM adjusted)
OTE
Contenders - 1, 8, 10, 12

10 is the M/L favorite and looks formidable. My projected pace line is from his last race, so no problem there. Runs on or near lead, loves to sprint at FG, Stidham is excellent trainer and now connections have Florent Geroux riding. Bounce possibility but otherwise thoroughly legitimate.

1 also likes to lead or stay near pace. Bounce possibility with 1 as well, but bigger concern is pace, as he may be a stride slow.

Both 8 and 12 run late. If this was any track other than FG, I wouldn't consider them, but FG has a long stretch run and that gives sustained runners more time to wind up. Both have run in graded stakes this year, so there's some class. 8 made a big move late in last race, losing by less than a length to 12 and 10. My concern is that he comes from another zip code and is usually the last horse in the field at the first call.

That brings me to my pick, 12. Raced in NY earlier this year, claimed at Saratoga, claimed again off the turf at Kentucky Downs and promptly wins first asking at FG, beating 10, 8, 2, 5, and 6. Can he hold 10 and 8 again? I think so. Just wish the odds were higher. :-)

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Old 12-10-2016, 02:20 PM   #4
The Pook
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FG12

22/45
Looking for the 2 to reverse the tandem. He attended that fast pace the best of all and faded. The other speed 13, is coming from the 13 hole and is slower. 3 may take the lead but seems slower. With less speed balls this time hopefully he will improve with second start over track. Should be very disregarded in the pools.

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Old 12-10-2016, 04:04 PM   #5
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Scratches

The 11 is scratched.
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Old 12-10-2016, 04:06 PM   #6
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Correction on Post Time

6:51 PM EST not 6:21 PM EST
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Old 12-10-2016, 05:31 PM   #7
Pat C.
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Speed seems to be holding at FG so far. #2 should get the lead but may not hold it. The #8 will be coming from the very back of the pack to compete with the #12 to overtake. However, with nothing to lose I am going to ignore them and go with the #4. Has a good workout pattern, runs well off a layoff and has Deshawn Parker up today.

Win #2 & #4
Place #4
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Old 12-10-2016, 07:38 PM   #8
cigar
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fg r12

pace: 22 - 45.3
ote
contenders: 5-8-9-10-12

win 8
place 8, 6

at the time of posting 10 is my choice however I will take a pass at even money.
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Old 12-10-2016, 07:43 PM   #9
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looking for OTE as speed should be plentiful. my choice is between the 8 and the 12. I'll go with the odds and go with the 12.

#12 Nubin Ridge to win and place.
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Old 12-10-2016, 07:45 PM   #10
mowens33
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Should be a fast pace 22.0-44.6 (2-10-13). The 1 should get the first jump on the leaders, with the 12 coming fast.
My bet will be the 1 to win.
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