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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It?

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Old 08-06-2016, 04:13 PM   #11
The Pook
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WO7

I was attracted to this race by the #1.

My initial impression of the race was
1) He ran against the FPLR
2) He gained in positions and lengths and then faded
3) He mostly runs early
4) He reversed his running style last out and gained indicating sharpness

I made him as good as I could from past races, and then tried to beat him. The 6 came closest but on turf. My records at this track, distance, and Allowance level say early corollaries rule. The odds are good at 7-1. The 1 is my horse.

#1 TO WIN
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Old 08-06-2016, 04:20 PM   #12
Ted Craven
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Good work Pook and Lostandwon!

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Old 08-06-2016, 04:24 PM   #13
Capcondo
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Nice one Pook. The man wins his own race. Welcome to the winner's circle Lostandwon!
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Old 08-06-2016, 05:06 PM   #14
Hoof 11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Pook View Post
WO7
My records at this track, distance, and Allowance level say early corollaries rule.
I would have to agree with you Pook, you have to be within 2 ˝ lengths of the lead in a sprint to have any success on the Tapeta, unless there is a weather bias. Your analysis was spot on and you were rewarded with a nice price, well done my friend!

Contreras is no dummy (except for his ride in the Queen’s Plate), the 1 was exiting a key race where 3 of the horses in that race went onto win next time out, you can make that 4 after today.

Last edited by The Pook; 08-06-2016 at 06:02 PM.
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Old 08-06-2016, 05:29 PM   #15
cigar
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Thumbs up Great Start

Congrats Pook and Lostandwon
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Old 08-06-2016, 06:12 PM   #16
The Pook
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Thanks folks. Congrats to lostandwon's winning initial play.

The horse was on fumes at the end but hung on. It was a textbook Bradshaw spot play. THIS was a race where I thought FPLR was a particularly useful tool. It was also a textbook example of the posters advantage. Find something that plays to your own strengths and make everybody else beat you.

It is nice when they convert.
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Old 08-06-2016, 06:21 PM   #17
Ted Craven
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I'm going to have to bone up on my Woodbine models for next weekend - the P&C Meetup beginning next Saturday (Friday evening if you're around for dinner near the track).

Depending on attendance, a majority of the players in this Contest could be there! As I mentioned to Pook, it would be nice to have another race from Woodbine, for some of us to work on live

Excellent analysis Pook, and lostandwon - congratulations!

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Old 08-06-2016, 08:20 PM   #18
lostandwon
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Thanks to all

Nod to Pook on the 1 (singular) horse bet

I questioned if the 1 horse could run 6.5f. The answer was “just barely.” Got worried when she clicked off the sub 46 half.
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Old 08-06-2016, 10:25 PM   #19
mowens33
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Pook and Lostandwon Great Start!

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Old 08-08-2016, 03:04 PM   #20
Mitch44
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Nice call Pook, congratulations.
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