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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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05-03-2017, 05:26 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Oaks Friday Race 11
Early look
Oak Grade 1 1,000,000 3-year-old Fillies 9 furlongs Top 5 TPR (line 1 ) 14, 7, 1, 4, 6 Fulcrum POR Nobody's last line is from CD Notes Horse 1 Ever So Clever Sustained 20/1 Line 1 Grade 3 win Horse 2 Lockdown Early 20/1 Line 1 Grade 2 Place Horse 3 Mopotism Presser 20/1 Line 2 75 stakes win Horse 4 Paradise Woods Early 2.5/1 Line 1 Grade 1 win Horse 5 Jordans Henny Early Presser 30/1 Line 1 Grade 2 3rd Horse 6 Vexatious Presser 20/1 Line 1 Grade 3 3rd Horse 7 Farrell Early 5/1 Line 1 Grade 2 win Horse 8 Sailors Valentine Early 30/1 Line 1 Grade 1 win Horse 9 Wicked Lick Sustained 30/1 Line 1 Grade 2 Place Horse 10 Miss Sky Warrior Early 4.5/1 Line 1 Grade 2 win Horse 11 Tequilita Sus-Presser 20/1 Line 1 Grade 2 place Horse 12 Daddys Lil Darling Sustained 20/1 Line 1 Grade 1 Place Horse 13 Abel Tasman Sus Presser 5/1 Line 1 Grade 1 place Horse 14 Salty Sustained Presser 6/1 Line 1 grade 2 win Horse 15 Summer Luck Sustained 30/1 Line 2 Grade 2 place |
05-03-2017, 07:53 PM | #2 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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Hi Bill,
I figured I would jump here and render my opinion. I see the race as going Fast - Late I like the 10 at 9/2 odds. My 2 bet choices would be 10 & 4 |
05-03-2017, 09:25 PM | #3 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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Here is what I believe to be an accurate representation of speed points and running style. This should give you an idea of how the race should run and which horses qualify by speed and fit the race.
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05-05-2017, 03:24 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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Using the Marathon Method which got me The Oaks last year at double digits. Nine panels is not a marathon but I used it here anyway.
Top 5 and positions #4 Paradise Woods 96.1 1st #14 Salty 96.5 1st #13 Abel Tasman 95.9 3rd #5 Jordan's Henny 96.5 3rd #11 Tequilita 96.5 4th 4/14 for the win. Pook |
05-05-2017, 05:00 PM | #5 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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Hi Pook,
Excuse my ignorance but I never heard of the Marathon Method. Maybe you could clue me in. |
05-05-2017, 05:07 PM | #6 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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Quote:
It's a Matchup spot play in the Hatcheck. You'll find it here: http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...?t=2026&page=3 Pook |
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05-05-2017, 06:08 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,163
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I'll try for some prices 14-7-13-1-4
Tim G
__________________
Trust but verify |
05-05-2017, 06:24 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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Three of us bagged him. The Marathon method for me is now 2/2 with double digit prices in The Oaks. Excellent single Mark. I had no idea about the slop breeding but obviously it didn't hurt. Hopefully you and Tim made some cash.
Pook |
05-05-2017, 06:30 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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Prices...
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05-05-2017, 06:31 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: the great race place
Posts: 205
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Make it 4 of us!
Win bet and keyed in the oaks/derby double cheers!, Paul link Los Angeles,ca |
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