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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 05-03-2017, 05:26 PM   #1
Bill V.
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Oaks Friday Race 11

Early look

Oak Grade 1 1,000,000 3-year-old Fillies 9 furlongs

Top 5 TPR (line 1 )
14, 7, 1, 4, 6

Fulcrum POR Nobody's last line is from CD

Notes

Horse 1 Ever So Clever Sustained 20/1
Line 1 Grade 3 win

Horse 2 Lockdown Early 20/1
Line 1 Grade 2 Place

Horse 3 Mopotism Presser 20/1
Line 2 75 stakes win

Horse 4 Paradise Woods Early 2.5/1
Line 1 Grade 1 win

Horse 5 Jordans Henny Early Presser 30/1
Line 1 Grade 2 3rd

Horse 6 Vexatious Presser 20/1
Line 1 Grade 3 3rd

Horse 7 Farrell Early 5/1
Line 1 Grade 2 win

Horse 8 Sailors Valentine Early 30/1
Line 1 Grade 1 win

Horse 9 Wicked Lick Sustained 30/1
Line 1 Grade 2 Place

Horse 10 Miss Sky Warrior Early 4.5/1
Line 1 Grade 2 win

Horse 11 Tequilita Sus-Presser 20/1
Line 1 Grade 2 place

Horse 12 Daddys Lil Darling Sustained 20/1
Line 1 Grade 1 Place

Horse 13 Abel Tasman Sus Presser 5/1
Line 1 Grade 1 place

Horse 14 Salty Sustained Presser 6/1
Line 1 grade 2 win

Horse 15 Summer Luck Sustained 30/1
Line 2 Grade 2 place

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Old 05-03-2017, 07:53 PM   #2
partsnut
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Hi Bill,

I figured I would jump here and render my opinion.
I see the race as going Fast - Late
I like the 10 at 9/2 odds.
My 2 bet choices would be 10 & 4
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Old 05-03-2017, 09:25 PM   #3
partsnut
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Here is what I believe to be an accurate representation of speed points and running style. This should give you an idea of how the race should run and which horses qualify by speed and fit the race.
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Old 05-05-2017, 03:24 PM   #4
The Pook
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Using the Marathon Method which got me The Oaks last year at double digits. Nine panels is not a marathon but I used it here anyway.

Top 5 and positions
#4 Paradise Woods 96.1 1st
#14 Salty 96.5 1st
#13 Abel Tasman 95.9 3rd
#5 Jordan's Henny 96.5 3rd
#11 Tequilita 96.5 4th

4/14 for the win.
Pook
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Old 05-05-2017, 05:00 PM   #5
partsnut
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Hi Pook,

Excuse my ignorance but I never heard of the Marathon Method. Maybe you could clue me in.
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Old 05-05-2017, 05:07 PM   #6
The Pook
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partsnut View Post
Hi Pook,

Excuse my ignorance but I never heard of the Marathon Method. Maybe you could clue me in.
Hi Parts,

It's a Matchup spot play in the Hatcheck.
You'll find it here:
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...?t=2026&page=3

Pook
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Old 05-05-2017, 06:08 PM   #7
Lt1
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I'll try for some prices 14-7-13-1-4
Tim G
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Old 05-05-2017, 06:24 PM   #8
The Pook
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Three of us bagged him. The Marathon method for me is now 2/2 with double digit prices in The Oaks. Excellent single Mark. I had no idea about the slop breeding but obviously it didn't hurt. Hopefully you and Tim made some cash.

Pook
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Old 05-05-2017, 06:30 PM   #9
The Pook
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Prices...
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Old 05-05-2017, 06:31 PM   #10
sureshotlink
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Make it 4 of us!

Win bet and keyed in the oaks/derby double


cheers!,

Paul link
Los Angeles,ca
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