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07-26-2015, 10:40 AM | #31 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 126
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sorry pook...yeh..i forgot about this, i was all tied up with toga all day...for now on i will post why and how thx
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07-26-2015, 10:43 AM | #32 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 126
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it was one of my best days at toga hitting late pic 4....if u can look at monster mash last race...it was a wierd ride and just after the finish he took off like a shot...so i knew he was right for this 7f with a lot of pace
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07-26-2015, 11:15 AM | #33 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
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Sunday WO #3
Expect a 24.8/49.9. To run OTE. Got it down to the 1,4,5 of which I think the 1 and 5 will have advantage in position. 1,5 |
07-26-2015, 12:29 PM | #34 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Woodbine
Let’s use the tandem race for today’s pace (49.4 114.1). Looking for an OTE winner.
#1 Set the pace in the tandem before fading once headed. This one is not usually on the lead and its only win was from second position against a 48…Contender #2 Won against today’s pace in line 7 and was beaten by the 1 in line 6. Contender #3 Only wins/close finishes are against slower…OUT #4 Tandem best finisher won against a faster pace here in line 3. Contender #5 Slow, out #6 Slower, out #7 Has won against similar or faster pace twice (lines 2 and 5) and has a great name …Contender #* Has a couple of good races against the pace but was beaten badly in the tandem which I can’t overlook…OUT The 1 and 4 should be up on or close to the pace like last time waiting to get passed by the 2 or 7. The 7 seems more reliable to me against today’s pace so I will go with the 7. |
07-26-2015, 12:34 PM | #35 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 126
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Wb race 3. Win 3-7....both to me look the same running style..pace looks quick up front....both are 2nd - 3rd off layoff, top trainers,i should get the 6/1...and the 7/2 on the 6 or better...back class 3-7.....styles fit the race
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07-26-2015, 01:35 PM | #36 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,090
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WO race 3
using pace scenario of 48 and 112.8
none of these horses really like the lead but someone (probably #5) has to go to the front. That horse will have a big target on his back and probably will quit as soon as he is challenged. Win: #1 Best Available #7 Pete's Pita
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
07-27-2015, 12:53 AM | #37 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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woodbine Chart
The 4 gets it done.....
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07-27-2015, 08:37 AM | #38 | |
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
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WO Contest Challenge
Quote:
My first mistake made, I capped base on ODDS not finding the logical winner. Looking for high price payout, strategy did not pay off (went 1/10). That hurts both pride and ego lol. It was a great day and I had fun, look forward for the next one. Pook and Pete that for the kind words. |
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07-27-2015, 09:57 AM | #39 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
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Cigar, glad you had some fun; contest wagering has a lot of different strategies. With that many contestants normally like you did I swing for the fences (especially early), and if I hit a few good paying horses (and if is the key word) early you can settle in to your normal mode and watch the score board to see if you need to get more aggressive.
It’s a tough nut to crack!! Mike |
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