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07-12-2006, 08:15 PM | #1 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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conflicting reads live race
here is race 5 tonight from Evd - 5.5f
ok after following steps outlined in another thread I am now down to 4 horses. why post this one? check the reads on the # 9 horse please 2nd raw total energy 1st on early exdc 2nd on late exdc yet the horse does NOT show on either "paragon". varie - sustained here are screen shots beginning with the engen really gotta love this **** this race AFTER it runs will answer all kinds of questions ( assuming I have the winner shown ) . They always do! Rich
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07-12-2006, 08:17 PM | #2 |
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next
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07-12-2006, 08:18 PM | #3 |
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next one
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07-12-2006, 08:18 PM | #4 |
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ok next
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07-12-2006, 09:09 PM | #5 |
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Richie, this is just an observation. If you add F1 and F2 for both the 2 and 9 who has the greater number? If you add F2 and F3 for the same horses who has the greater number? I am not really sure if this is significant or not.
Conversely if you add the 1st and 2nd as well as the 2nd and 3rd in the Exdc Match-Up Screens who comes up lowest? These are supposed to be defiency numbers per fraction. Again not sure if this is significant or not. That F2 for 9 may be the cause of the conflicting readouts. I will very interested in what your observations are after the race. |
07-12-2006, 09:25 PM | #6 |
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 212
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Richie:
This is a very tough race. 8, 1, and 2 are closely matched early. 2 is the only presser identified in the race. 2 is also the highest total energy horse. If all of the selected pacelines are not abberant then I would look at the race as follows: 8 and 1 look like they will get the lead. 1 looks like it might be able to very slightly dominate 8. 2 should make a move during the 2nd part of the race. 9 should be right behind it. 9 looks like it will hang in the stretch. 9 will only win if the three in front collapse. Not likely. If the paceline for 2 is valid then 2 will win. If not then 1 will win. That is my 2 cents. Gary |
07-12-2006, 09:42 PM | #7 |
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Result
all a moot point as the 6 wins at 9/5 I used the last line and projected nowhere for ME
1 runs second also chalk wanna see the result chart of how the race ran thanx guys for the feedback! Rich pp's for the 6
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07-12-2006, 10:26 PM | #8 |
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KUDOS to all three of you,this is what I personally was hoping would happen.Jeff
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07-12-2006, 10:34 PM | #9 |
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The horse that won was coming off a 10,000 open claiming race back to a non winners 4 lifetime.Actually that start doesnt look that bad the first 2 horses finished 10 lenghts ahead of the field.Jeff
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07-13-2006, 01:33 AM | #10 |
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Hide horse
Hi Rich
The 6 is just a pain in the ear hide horse winner Here is my screen shot using Spec The winner ranks 5th I saw nothing in its recent form Except a clear class advantage I did a APV/Class which i inserted into the corner The six has a good advantage. I went down to a resonable( I think) race 3 line. For sure if you use the race 6 or all the way back to race A the six will rank better I also noted on the next screen that like Jeff said The six is dropping from a open $10,000 were it showed good EP in its first race off a Layoff It like the crowd thought handled these $5000ers easy My bets if I did this race would have been the 1 and 8 looking back now a 1 6 8 exbox would not have been good either. It paid $19.00 |
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