Saturday - Hawthorne - "E" Proj Pace - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 12-15-2011, 04:40 PM

Here is the 8th from Hawthorne this Saturday.

#5 Distorted Groom is the "pace Horse" off a 22.0- 45.2 (in fifths) from the last race at this track and distance. He has also equalled or bettered this pace on 2 other occasions at this track(lines 6 and 9).

I punched in the pace so lets see what lines light up ok? also please check the tandem finishes and see if they help YOU as individual matchers. Hat's personal instruction to me was simply this: "Rich if they help you in a SPECIFIC race use them otherwise forget about it".

Best of luck/skill to ALL

RichieP · 12-15-2011, 04:42 PM

...

RichieP · 12-15-2011, 04:44 PM

,,,

Bill Lyster · 12-16-2011, 06:17 PM

I looked at this race from two view points. First I matched all the 6.5 f lines and then again with just 6f lines.

the FPLR in either case and either distance appears to be the 9 by quite a ways.

The 6.5f analysis might have 4 on the lead and the 6f analysis might have 3 on the lead and the 9 likes to sit 3rd or 4th which is perfect for the early set up.

The 3 and 4 can press this pace without getting caught in it, but I like the 4 better from positioning stand point.

9 to win and 4 to place plus exacta boxes. these are the two medium priced favorites and I would not expect ML to hold up. Kinda chalky.

Bill

mikesal57 · 12-17-2011, 09:46 AM

This is the kind of race I would love to play....

First I look at the M/L Favorite to see if he could win....

OK..lets look at the 9....claimed 2 back for 14...off one month and in for 10??
Now hes in for 5 ...Do you think something is wrong here?

I'll go with the 3 & 5

Mike

Bill V. · 12-17-2011, 10:29 AM

Hi Mike Lets say the M/L odds hold up
The 9 is 4/1 ML would you take $10-$11.00 if it wins

Thanks
Bill

mikesal57 · 12-17-2011, 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bill v.

hi mike lets say the m/l odds hold up
the 9 is 4/1 ml would you take $10-$11.00 if it wins

thanks
bill

hmmmmmm.......no!!

Bill V. · 12-17-2011, 10:58 AM

Thanks Mike

PeteC · 12-17-2011, 12:18 PM

Ooops...looks like our pace horse (#5) is scratched...

mikesal57 · 12-17-2011, 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PeteC

Ooops...looks like our pace horse (#5) is scratched...

in that case..2 & 3 for me

gl

mike

12-15-2011, 04:40 PM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Saturday - Hawthorne - "E" Proj Pace Here is the 8th from Hawthorne this Saturday. #5 Distorted Groom is the "pace Horse" off a 22.0- 45.2 (in fifths) from the last race at this track and distance. He has also equalled or bettered this pace on 2 other occasions at this track(lines 6 and 9). I punched in the pace so lets see what lines light up ok? also please check the tandem finishes and see if they help YOU as individual matchers. Hat's personal instruction to me was simply this: "Rich if they help you in a SPECIFIC race use them otherwise forget about it". Best of luck/skill to ALL Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

12-15-2011, 04:42 PM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	... Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

12-15-2011, 04:44 PM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	,,, Attached Images __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"

12-17-2011, 10:29 AM	#6
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Hi Mike Lets say the M/L odds hold up The 9 is 4/1 ML would you take $10-$11.00 if it wins Thanks Bill Last edited by Bill V.; 12-17-2011 at 10:33 AM.

12-17-2011, 10:58 AM	#8
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	ok Thanks Mike

12-16-2011, 06:17 PM	#4
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	I looked at this race from two view points. First I matched all the 6.5 f lines and then again with just 6f lines. the FPLR in either case and either distance appears to be the 9 by quite a ways. The 6.5f analysis might have 4 on the lead and the 6f analysis might have 3 on the lead and the 9 likes to sit 3rd or 4th which is perfect for the early set up. The 3 and 4 can press this pace without getting caught in it, but I like the 4 better from positioning stand point. 9 to win and 4 to place plus exacta boxes. these are the two medium priced favorites and I would not expect ML to hold up. Kinda chalky. Bill

12-17-2011, 09:46 AM	#5
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	This is the kind of race I would love to play.... First I look at the M/L Favorite to see if he could win.... OK..lets look at the 9....claimed 2 back for 14...off one month and in for 10?? Now hes in for 5 ...Do you think something is wrong here? I'll go with the 3 & 5 Mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack Last edited by mikesal57; 12-17-2011 at 09:51 AM.

12-17-2011, 12:18 PM	#9
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Ooops...looks like our pace horse (#5) is scratched...

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