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RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology |
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03-19-2007, 09:50 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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"Live" - Lone E / Marathon distance
Here is a screenshot for today's 7th at Gp to be run at 12f on the grass.
There is a Lone Early who also qualifies under my spot play #4. That's why I am posting this one. The yellow box on the Lone Early #2 represents the Mile time for everyone to shoot at. The red boxes around the final times of the 4 and 5 show where we need to subtract 6.4(tenths as shown here) to get to their respective mile times. Then it becomes strictly a POSITIONAL issue which lands me on the 2. I will wager at 3/2 odds or higher at 3 mtp and pass if odds are lower. Richie
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03-19-2007, 01:02 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Richie
I did this race with SPEC160 and came up with the 4, 7 doing the hides from BL/BL. When the hides are done in Perceptor I you get the same answer. But when the hides are done with Perceptor II then you get the 2, 7. WHY? Froggy |
03-19-2007, 01:19 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Richie
The first Race at the Gulf was won by #1, the horse that was first in Perceptor II. Does this reading represent the lone early. I am still having trouble identifying the lone early using SPEC160. If that is at all possible. Froggy |
03-19-2007, 02:51 PM | #4 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
Ok I really don't have a handle on that Perceptor-2 read. Someone here hopefully will explain it. Just for clarity my look at the race above was from evaluating RAW data using ONLY that screen shown ok? Now that I have made my decision here is what those same lines look like on the ADJUSTED bl/bl screen. To be HONEST the 2 has almost NO shot at the win looking at the screen and that is NOT even putting the rest of the filed in man. Most telling is the E/L read I have "boxed" some readouts showing what I mean by the above statement Froggy. stay cool Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" Last edited by RichieP; 03-19-2007 at 02:56 PM. |
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03-19-2007, 03:49 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Richie
I used my home made Phase III/Energy and then made a compu-graph and came up with a score of 300, ie no play. |
03-19-2007, 03:51 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Richie
I used my home made Phase/Energy program and with the compugraph the score is 300,ie no play. Froggy |
03-19-2007, 04:06 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Bullhead City Az
Posts: 921
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Richie
You used line 3 for the#2. I used line 2 as it came up with Perceptor as the line to use. #2 went wire to wire for $4.20 still no play. |
03-19-2007, 04:06 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Result
The 2 unfortunately was too low oddswise to wager on for ME.
He wins EASILY. The Hat just woulda "put him in a dang pick 3 Rich and get something outa him! If you bet anyone else besides him you LOSE right?." IF he had been bettable odds I would have double bet him as he hits TWO of my spot plays Spot play #1 Spot play #4 THAT is what caused me to post in the first place. ok Richie
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