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Hat Check - How Can We Help You? Jim 'The Hat' Bradshaw - Learn The Matchup |
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12-29-2007, 07:09 AM | #141 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 48
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Projected Pace Question
Richie,
I got lost when you arrived at a number for Projected Pace. How did you get those numbers? Would you please do the math "out loud?" Also, how did you think the horses were going to run when you estimated the Projected Pace? How would you have called this race before the fact? Lastly what was your reason for not including the #2 SS in the matchup. Inquiring mind needs to know. Thanks, Buzz |
12-29-2007, 07:19 AM | #142 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 48
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Here is a screen shot describing my "disconnect"
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12-29-2007, 10:13 AM | #143 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
The horse you describe here should be avoided in virtually all races. I am going to make a separate thread showing an example where the horse you mention is the bet ok? It is going to involve a horse that makes a "Power Move" from that deep position at 1st call and gains MULTIPLE positions between calls: a) 1st call to 2nd call b) 2nd call to stretch call We want to avoid like the plague horses that move only from the stretch call to finish. I will go into more detail in your thread about the Power Move. Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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12-29-2007, 10:20 AM | #144 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
The race to me looked to be won "early" by the 5 because the 1 didn't look fast enough to press early on. What was comforting was the fact that if something happened weird the 5 was also fast other than early. The 2 is a slow turf horse - out
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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12-29-2007, 03:03 PM | #145 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 48
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Richie,
Sorry to bug you again but please explain how you thought this through? "Projected pace looks like the #5 from it's last race - 46.3 - 111.4 (conv to 5ths)" What do you mean by "looks like"? Where are you looking? Is there some logic that you are using that I am missing? Honestly I have no clue how you arrived at this decision. "The race to me looked to be won "early" by the 5 because..." What does "looked to be" mean? "the 1 didn't look fast enough to press early on. " "What does "look" mean? How much is "fast enough"? Again I don't see how you are arriving at these decisions. I am not trying to dispute you. I am only trying to think this through using your logic so I can do it in the future on my own. Thanks, Buzz |
12-30-2007, 09:55 AM | #146 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
The words I used in that entire post were used on purpose and here is why.This forum represents Jim's concepts and as best I can do things HIS way of teaching me. The ONE thing I can promise everyone reading this forum is that ANYTHING I post is Jim's way without putting my own spin on things. That last sentence is important because phrases like "looks like" "appears to be" "doesn't look to be" are EXACTLY what Jim would use when teaching me.He also did this with me from the beginning. He wants our minds quiet(relaxed) and free of rigid things to look for when matching horses and races. I need to convey this to those wanting to learn.My choice of the phrases used was with purpose and if folks will TRUST in the process ongoing here they will benefit. OK so what can be done NOW with the Aqueduct race posted here to help you while tying in with what I just posted? THIS: 1) Get 10 minutes of totally quiet time set aside. 2) Read all my phrases quoted by Buzz first. 3) Go to the race pp's and begin scrolling the horses SLOWLY.Relax and just look: a) Let your mind see who might go for the lead here. b) Let your mind see who doesn't belong here (too slow) c) Let your mind see who are the true contenders (FAST horses) d) Let your mind see the ENTIRE horse's past performances e) Let your mind see the ENTIRE horse's past performances 4) Close the past performances and look at the result chart. 5) Get up and walk away. Exercise is FINISHED. Do NOT return to the race. You do not have to. It is "stored" away already even if you do not think so. This is Jim "The Hat" Bradshaw's Matchup.
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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01-09-2008, 02:51 PM | #147 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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2 from Aqueduct today
I'm playing Aqueduct on the phone with a paisan who runs a casino near here.
I loved 2 horses on the card man. I mean loved them. As you will see I lost the first bet and cashed the 2nd one.To be honest the loss was an incorrect evaluation of the lines I stacked together. I'll show both in case anyone wants to check them out. Here is Aqueduct's 1st race where I loved and bet the #5 horse at 7/2.
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
01-09-2008, 02:52 PM | #148 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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2 from Aqueduct today
Here is the second spot play.
I loved and bet the #1 horse here. 2 call Fighter on multiple lines.
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
01-09-2008, 07:24 PM | #149 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: I live in Toronto, Ontario, can
Posts: 220
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Hi Richie. I also had the 2nd race from AQu today. Didn't the #2 horse have almost the same pattern as the #8 from PHA.
The 2 comes from the fastest pace of the race and he also has the best power line which comes from his last line. And also the race is going to run OTE because it is a ROUTE race and there is more than 1 sprinter in that race. And this fits his running style like a glove. emilio |
01-09-2008, 09:26 PM | #150 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: NYC and San Diego
Posts: 627
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