Matching up correctly - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:24 AM

I knew I was NOT applying Jim's stuff correctly. Mixing software with this and that. Gaining ground nonsense etc etc etc.

Got a "tune up" and steered in the CORRECT direction.

I was gonna show a race from Cd yesterday but this race from Evd last night is even easier and pays good.

First let me show the pp's for the field please. I am going to show ORIGINAL pacelines using Specpa as the vehicle to show them ok? But we are NOT gonna use software at all to work the race and decision make.

Evangeline - Race 9 - 8f dirt

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:38 AM

This is Horse # 1 - Brickly Bear

I am only gonna show the ORIGINAL pacelines on the lower half of paceline screen. I wanna block everything else out ok?

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:40 AM

Horse # 2 - Madame Falcon

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:41 AM

Horse # 3 - Paris Pride

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:42 AM

Horse # 4 - Satty Nite

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:43 AM

Horse # 5 - Madison's Music

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:45 AM

Horse # 6 - Blue Eyed Lass

this is the 4/5 HEAVY favorite in the race

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:46 AM

Horse # 7 - Bayou Beauty

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:54 AM

ok now we have to find the "boss" early. It's the # 5 - Madison's Pride.

I have marked 2 lines - the 3rd back is at this distance
1c - 48.8 - on the lead
2c - 114.8 - 2nd - 1.5 lenghts off

The last race is at 8.3f
I see the 2nd c here is 114.5. I work Evd every night and for some reason to ME these 8.3 f races run faster than the 8f races. An anomaly I notice a lot.
2c - 114.5

I used this last line only to kinda solidify in my mind that I wanted to use the 114.8 2c time at this distance as my time to match the others.

I made the pace calls ( 1c and 2c) to match pacelines for the rest of field
1c - 48.8
2c - 114.8

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 09:58 AM

Ok so we have our projected 1c and 2c

1c - 48.8
2c - 114.8

Now Jim says in his 5 steps to find a paceline with a final time that matches the first 2 calls.

looking at the field we find an exact match. Guess who it is? Yes the heavy 4/5 favorite # 6

1c - 48.7
2c - 114.7
ft - 141.1 - and this is a WIN line.

ok so I am VERY confident I have down these steps right.

Here is the screen shot of the # 6 with the line marked

05-28-2006, 09:24 AM	#1
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Matching up correctly I knew I was NOT applying Jim's stuff correctly. Mixing software with this and that. Gaining ground nonsense etc etc etc. Got a "tune up" and steered in the CORRECT direction. I was gonna show a race from Cd yesterday but this race from Evd last night is even easier and pays good. First let me show the pp's for the field please. I am going to show ORIGINAL pacelines using Specpa as the vehicle to show them ok? But we are NOT gonna use software at all to work the race and decision make. Evangeline - Race 9 - 8f dirt

05-28-2006, 09:38 AM	#2
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Horse # 1 This is Horse # 1 - Brickly Bear I am only gonna show the ORIGINAL pacelines on the lower half of paceline screen. I wanna block everything else out ok? Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:40 AM	#3
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Horse # 2 Horse # 2 - Madame Falcon Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:41 AM	#4
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Horse # 3 Horse # 3 - Paris Pride Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:42 AM	#5
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Horse # 4 Horse # 4 - Satty Nite Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:43 AM	#6
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Horse # 5 Horse # 5 - Madison's Music Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:45 AM	#7
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Horse # 6 Horse # 6 - Blue Eyed Lass this is the 4/5 HEAVY favorite in the race Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:46 AM	#8
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Horse # 7 Horse # 7 - Bayou Beauty Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:54 AM	#9
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Projecting Pacesetter ok now we have to find the "boss" early. It's the # 5 - Madison's Pride. I have marked 2 lines - the 3rd back is at this distance 1c - 48.8 - on the lead 2c - 114.8 - 2nd - 1.5 lenghts off The last race is at 8.3f I see the 2nd c here is 114.5. I work Evd every night and for some reason to ME these 8.3 f races run faster than the 8f races. An anomaly I notice a lot. 2c - 114.5 I used this last line only to kinda solidify in my mind that I wanted to use the 114.8 2c time at this distance as my time to match the others. I made the pace calls ( 1c and 2c) to match pacelines for the rest of field 1c - 48.8 2c - 114.8 Attached Images

05-28-2006, 09:58 AM	#10
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Finding a final time to match 1c and 2c pace Ok so we have our projected 1c and 2c 1c - 48.8 2c - 114.8 Now Jim says in his 5 steps to find a paceline with a final time that matches the first 2 calls. looking at the field we find an exact match. Guess who it is? Yes the heavy 4/5 favorite # 6 1c - 48.7 2c - 114.7 ft - 141.1 - and this is a WIN line. ok so I am VERY confident I have down these steps right. Here is the screen shot of the # 6 with the line marked Attached Images