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09-04-2017, 10:22 AM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Closing Day (36) DMR feauture race Race 7 8.5 Turf
Closing day of the 2017 summer Del Mar meet
Let's finish it up with another big turf race 1 1/16 Miles Turf Purse $65,000 Allowance Optional Claiming It is a nice big field, G. Stevens is on the 3/ morning line favorite I am so grateful to you all. It has been so much fun for me to do these daily races. This race is for all those who participated and looked in and tried to learn, THANK YOU https://youtu.be/2tytTebj8ic |
09-04-2017, 03:49 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Final Day notes
Horse 1 Starlite Style 8/1 3 for 15 Sustained Line 2. Very consistent Line 1 is a dud but it's after a layoff
Horse 2 Nodiac (IRE) 3.5/1 Sustained Line 1 and 2 are + pacelines line 1 is a 180 TPR so I will use that one Horse 3 Kathy's Song 8/1 2 for 8 Early Presser Line 1 was a troubled trip in a grade 1 Lines 2-5 are all plus pace lines. Stayed here at DMR and trained well Line 2. Horse 4. Dis Smart Cat 8/1 4 for 12 Early No turf races to rate or races longer than 1 mile It's TPRs look to low to consider, Can it win a Turf Route? Maybe, but I will look elsewhere/ Horse 5. Jeremy's Legacy (IRE) 3/1 2 for 18 ML favorite Presser Line 1 is a win line no reason to go back further. Horse 6 Scratch Horse 7.Laseen (IRE) 8/1 3 for 26 Sus Presser Made two nice moves in line 2 I will use it, This one has been running in stakes races in the last 3 so I will rate line 2 Horse 8 Themodynamics 20/1 2 for 16 Sustained line 3 is just about the only thing I can rate I will look elsewhere. Horse 9.Dynamic Mizzes K 8/1 2 for 13 Sustained Line 1 is a plus line but it rates low from the distance adjustment from 11 furlongs It ran a 180 TPR in the fall here at Del Mar but lines 2 and 3 are at this class and distance and they are not good. Horse 10 Ginga (ARG) 20/1 2 for 17 Preser Just seems a cut below these Line 3 is a + line but it rates low anyway Horse 11 Khalees1 30/1 1 for 10 Line 1 is a dud race at the OC40 level Line 2 is a + line where it was able to control a slow early pace Unless a 30 day layoff cure its issues This on will not get its first win against winners in this race Horse 12 How Unusual 6/1 3 for 16 Sustained Line 1 and 2 are plus pacelines both are usable I will use line 1' Let me hit the road and think this over See you on the way back to L.A. |
09-04-2017, 04:09 PM | #3 |
AlwNW2X
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 24
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2-5-7
Will wait to see what odds will be later, but looking to dutch 2 out of the 3. Thanks for posting these races everyday. A lot of tough ones! GL! |
09-04-2017, 04:45 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
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10 is scratched also. Don't think it will make much difference in anybody's capping.
Thanks Bill for posting these races. Many tough ones to be sure. A good percentage were passes but some of us pushed through anyway. It was fun. Pook |
09-04-2017, 04:53 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
Lines
On the expresswa y why isn't everybody home eating barbeque
Happy Labor Day to All 😃the 😆I will go with the 2 and 3 for price Steven will be bet down but the 5 is even with these the 12 might be with something, Good Skill Bill |
09-04-2017, 05:16 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Dmr
Safe travels Bill and thanks for posting.
Picks will be 2-5-1 Bob |
09-04-2017, 07:11 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
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Bill, thanks for this summer-long visit to Del Mar!
Here are my Contenders for this race. I will try to visit it during the run up to post time, and get any tote related intelligence, and report further if I can. It has been pouring rain here in Ontario most of the Labour Day weekend, so a good night to curl up on the couch. But let's see. Heading for my first Breeders' Cup at Del Mar this November! See YOU there .
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
09-04-2017, 08:02 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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I'll bite. Contenders:
#1: Line 4 #2: Line 1 #5: Line 1 #7: Line 2 #9: Line 2 #12: Line 1 Close, competitive race. Line of thinking is that if #7 can get the trip, it is capable of running huge today. Huge odds at 14-1. #12 is also a nice price potential play. #9 is an outlier, can that one turn it around in a shorter turf route? With such a tight spread in competition, I'll dutch the #7, #9 and #12 and try for the price. |
09-04-2017, 08:04 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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In reverse order:
11 -- Khaleesi: stretches out, up in purse, third after layoff, jockey switch, but July 22 race took a lot out 8 -- Thermodynamics: stretches out, returns to previous winning level, first after layoff, jockey switch, but seems to prefer 9f 7 -- Laseen: coming from nongraded stakes, 3rd after layoff, jockey switch, but moving in wrong direction 9 -- Dynamic Mizzes K: shortens up, coming from nongraded stakes, returns to previous winning level, 4th after layoff, jockey switch, should be closing, will look to use underneath in exotics 1 -- Starlite Style: dropping from nongraded stakes to previous winning level, second after layoff, positive jockey switch to Desormeaux, probably too slow for win, might pick up a piece of tri or super 3 -- Kathy's Song: cuts back in distance, dropping from nongraded stakes, 2nd after layoff, jockey switch, probably not fast enough even if improves 12 -- How Unusual: dropping from nongraded stakes to previous winning level, 3rd after layoff, jockey switch, looks a bit slow compared to top 3 4 -- Dis Smart Cat: switches from dirt to turf, first time on turf, moves from sprint to route, returns to previous winning level, first after layoff, jockey switch, should have lead by 1/2 mi, if can hold on and dirt form translates to turf, has value at 8-1 ML 5 -- Jeremy's Legacy: stretches out, returns to previous winning level, 2nd after layoff, should be closing, can win this if runs back to Aug 5 race 2 -- Nodiac: stretches out, pattern shows potential for new top Bets: win bets 2,5, gonna throw at little on the 4 based on odds, exacta 2,5/2,5,9 |
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