Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Selections
Mark Forums Read
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Search Today's Posts

Selections Post Your Picks - 1 race or a card

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 09-03-2017, 11:43 PM   #11
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
We all hit it

For the second time in a week, we all picked the winning horse

Way to go guys !!

I wish I had bet some more,
COMPLETED: 86db9-f0589
DMR
#8 $3 Win 5, 7 none $6.00 $9.90+ $3.90

The chart and winning horse

Name:  DMR Derby.JPG
Views: 146
Size:  158.9 KB

Name:  winner.JPG
Views: 139
Size:  184.4 KB
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-03-2017, 11:48 PM   #12
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Hair

Quote:
Originally Posted by sureshotlink View Post
Bill,

" Be sure to wear some flowers in your hair"
Good one Paul - I would if I had any hair,

Made to it to Sacramento but I don't deliver till Monday noon

so time to chill, been a long but productive day

Bill
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-04-2017, 05:59 AM   #13
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
Valid questions:


After your analysis a valid question that should always be asked is; Who is the only horse that can beat my top pick? Bill I think you made the correct bet and to risk more in a race with many unknown factors over time isn't worth the risk verses the reward.


Also; What is the best way to bet this race to make a profit? Money management tends to get ignored in this game while it plays a significant roll to success or failure. Determining the amount to bet based on the probability and analysis of your handicapping, and how risky the race is a huge factor for success. So Bill you made a good bet considering the complexity of this race.


I actually lost a few bucks on this race. I made the correct call on the DD but only made $6, if one of my other two won there would have been a nice profit. I also played the correct DD as my analysis said the 9th race was more predicable with less unknown factors. The favorite won but many lose DD and P 3 etc. by leaving out the best horse.


I ended up losing a few bucks on this race because I also played small EX's with some unknown factors with the 5 horse. I didn't go overboard with them but the risk reward was worth it, a lot for a little. The # 1 went off at about 30-1 and the 10 was over bet and had the 4 or 7 won or placed the payoffs were nice. So a few bucks was OK as that's the same way I got that $558 EX, the other day, by playing the best horse and asking who is the only horse that can beat it and how can I make $ out of this situation. Look at EX. payoffs and eliminate low paying EX, E.g., $8,10 & $12. The risk reward just isn't there.


I hope these two big questions up your game.


Mitch44
Mitch44 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
20 Race Cycles - For Beginners and Old Alike Because I Can Jim Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 1 04-13-2017 03:56 PM
Woodbine notes Saturday 4/30 Bill V. Pace Makes the Race / TPR 66 05-21-2016 09:00 AM
The Derby as a Marathon Race Bill Lyster Matchup Discussion 17 05-08-2016 04:38 PM
Just follow the guidelines For The Lead Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 138 08-19-2014 10:28 PM
How to Make People Believe Because I Can Jim General Discussion 9 08-13-2013 05:43 PM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:04 PM.