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Old 06-25-2023, 03:26 PM   #1
Lt1
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Scott Form Factors Review

It's been a yr and a half since I conducted a survey of the factors. Since I still employ them I decided to conduct another 100 race survey and share the findings for those interested. The tracks were Parx, TDN, MTH, WO. Here are the results

Winner No Defects
75
Winner No W/O Or Race Last 30 days
17*l13 trained by good trns]
Winner with Running Line Defect[not up close Str call last race same class or lower
8
Winner Declining In Form[2/5th Sec Slower[compared to previous race same class] then required 5
Winner Having Stretch Loss Defect
6 Horse up close str[same level or lower & dist structure then todays' race losing more then 1 length to finish.
You will note that the totals are greater the 100 and that is due to several winners having multi defects.
In the previous 200 race survey there were 82 winners with no defects, 10 winners with recency defect, 6 winners with a running line defect, 3 winners with declining form defect, and 6 winners with a stretch loss defect. In my own capping I'm more forgiving in the recency Department for horses trained by good trainers[ I consider a win% of 12 & up good and w% of 10 &11 ok] due to reality of todays' racing where horses are not raced or trained as much as in the past. I'm not forgiving in the other factors. Good luck to all in your handicapping.
Tim
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Old 06-25-2023, 03:34 PM   #2
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Here is a link to the Scott Form Factors document, compiled by Mick from from William L Scott's book: How Will Your Horse Run Today: http://sartinmethodology.com/library...rm_Factors.pdf
Tim
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Old 06-25-2023, 06:07 PM   #3
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Tim

I could not open the factors pdf

Thanks, Gene
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Old 06-25-2023, 06:25 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by coacht View Post
Tim

I could not open the factors pdf

Thanks, Gene
Thread to where the link works. Lt has the correct link weird how it didn't load (had the same issue).

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=15466
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Old 06-25-2023, 06:53 PM   #5
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Guys you can go to the RDSS section and find the link in the video [#2] I did detailing my approach. Mick did a great job laying it out Thanks Conley for posting the link again.
Tim
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Old 06-25-2023, 07:10 PM   #6
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Thank you Conley and Tim

Gene
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Old 06-26-2023, 01:11 PM   #7
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Thanks Tim
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Old 06-26-2023, 01:29 PM   #8
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Anytime Jeff.
Tim
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Old 06-28-2023, 04:38 PM   #9
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No problem, guys glad I can be of assistance
Thanks for all the hard work you put in here for the forum LT/Tim (even though I don't post as well and as enough as you guys on here)
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Old 06-28-2023, 04:57 PM   #10
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Thanks Conley. Hey you are a young man with a lot of things on his plate. Us old farts have time on our hands to do this type of stuff. Enjoy life while you can
Tim.
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