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11-16-2023, 02:07 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 377
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From the mind of Omar Parx r4 11-15-23
For all you Parx(ist’s), just a little play on words.
Why am I showing you this race? Yesterday I showed my friend this race because I noticed the 4 paid 49+ to place and I wanted to see if I could come up with the horse. And I did! If you start off by looking for certain patterns you’ll see it. There’s only 4 longshot patterns I’ll look for. And it doesn’t matter that I didn’t play the race, by practicing you’ll remember to look for the patterns. At first glance it looks like the 8&11 and maybe the 2. Ratio wise nothing sticks out. But with a closer examination this is what I see. Looking at the doubles and odds one sees the 3&10 are higher doubles than the 2 but 2 points lower on board than the 2. To me that’s taking money in the doubles. But what about the 4&9. The 4 is $12 less in the doubles but almost twice the odds as the 9. (48 vs 26). That’s taking money in the doubles!! So now I’ll check the exactas. You see the wide spreads between the 8-2 & 8-10 but not with the 8-3 combo(only $8). That tells me amongst those horses I’ll favor the 3. But what about the 4&9? Looking down I see the 6-4 is much lower than the 6-9. Also the exactas with the 7-4 & 7-9 are way too close. So I’m thinking if no the 3 then the 4. The 3-4 combo is too far apart so it’s probably the 3 BUT I would not leave the 4 off my tickets in the exotics. Do so at your own risk. So who else would I use in the exotics. Looking across with the 8 I’d use the 3,4 or 5 short exactas with the 8 plus the 8, that’s who. So who’s that, that would be the 1-2-3-10-11 and maybe the 5. Since we’re keying the 3 that would be the 1-2-10-11-4 & 5. They ran 3-4-1-8-11-5. Big balloons. And like the name of this old racehorse, Havaniceday. No pp’s, no computer guess work about is this the right horse or paceline(s). Like Pizzolla would say:”let the bet make you”. From inside the mind of Omar. http://paceandcap.com/forums/attachm...1&d=1700161503 http://paceandcap.com/forums/attachm...1&d=1700161503 http://paceandcap.com/forums/attachm...1&d=1700161503 http://paceandcap.com/forums/attachm...1&d=1700161503 http://paceandcap.com/forums/attachm...1&d=1700161503 |
11-16-2023, 02:10 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 377
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http://paceandcap.com/forums/attachm...1&d=1700161763
http://paceandcap.com/forums/attachm...1&d=1700161763 |
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