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12-01-2011, 04:12 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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New series of matching races coming
Lets put the series of TM Race class 100 or higher to bed We worked 19 races and the post time favorite won exactly three of them (15.75%)
Starting this weekend the focus shifts to another grouping of races - claiming races ONLY where the proj pace comes from an on the lead runner at both 1c and 2c in the last race at TODAYS track and distance Dolce Vita!
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
12-01-2011, 05:15 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Forty
Hi Rich
Forty Prayers is running at Parx on Sat 12/3 Its not a great race - only 7 entered but I think the 6 horse fits what you have in mind like i said its not the greatest race but I thought it fit |
12-02-2011, 03:57 PM | #3 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
It's Mom's birthday today and Karen and I are runnning out the door to go visit her. I haven't looked at the race to be honest but he looks like he could be it. Are there consistently faster "E" bucks in the race or is he the "one"? Hope all is well man and Karen says a big hello! Love Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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12-02-2011, 04:30 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Forty
Hi Rich
Happy Birthday Mrs P Rich I will put up the PPs and the only tandem was the 1 and 3 x x |
12-02-2011, 04:32 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horse
3
4 5 |
12-02-2011, 04:49 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horses
6
7 tandems |
12-03-2011, 08:26 AM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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My Look
This race is for non winners of a race since June 3rd
There are many who have won races since but for claiming prices under 7500 and thats ok in this race Here are my lines My Look Code:
1H Forty Prayers Line 1 win Same distance surface SR83 2H 2 very fast races last two I will use line 2 closer to todays distance This horse seems to not like races over 6.0 SR 87 3H Seems slow for this group. declining speed last 3 races maybe the 26 day rest will get it back to it its best speed numbers of 78-79 which still seem slow to this group no line or last line ? 4H Line 2 Same distance surface as today SR 83 5H Line 2 Same distance surface as today SR 85 6H Line 1 Same distance surface as today SR 83 7H line 1 similar distance surface as today SR 83 shows a 89 3 back on a sy parx 7.0 track |
12-03-2011, 08:57 AM | #8 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Quote:
From what I seen , they were very good races and the matchers here hit quite a few of them at good prices. I don't think it was a bust.....aren't we looking to get races with vulnerable favorites? Hit us with your stuff.... We can do it !! Enjoy your day and put a smile on your mother Mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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12-03-2011, 10:41 AM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Parx #3
Nice race Bill. This race is tougher than it looks on the surface. Thanks for putting it up.
Here we go: The speed horses are the 2 and 6. Most of the time when I have two early horses, one of them wins. I might be out thinking myself this time but I think the pace will be slow and the race will be won by an S type who runs well against a slow pace. 1: Late runner. OUT. Hasn't won against slow paces. 2: E/P type. I'm going against this horse. 3: S type. Too far back in sprints. 4: S type. 5th or 6th position at 1st call in sprints. Too far back. Out. 5: S type. 4th position vs 23.2. Close enough. Contender. 6: E type. Needs to be loose against slow fractions at 1st call. Has not run well against fast paces in sometime. Out. 7: S type. Sat third vs. 22.9 in last and 4th vs. 23.1 9 back. Contender. Since the 2 and 6 do not break in the 1st and 2nd position regularly, I think the pace will go about 23.0 at the first call. The 7 will be the closest and can run in the third fraction. I pick the 7 to win. Tim |
12-03-2011, 01:38 PM | #10 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Tim
Thanks for looking at the race
Sadly The 5 broke down on the backstretch just at the second call The 5 was in position but with it out of the race this left the 2 with a easy lead The 7 made a bid but faded to finish 4th The 2 won and paid $3.60 Thats horse racing |
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