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08-23-2009, 08:32 AM | #11 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hello.
This is great... I. read in the follow ups all the time about successful wins Thanks for the pick up inspiration |
08-23-2009, 09:14 AM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 798
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Really Nice score!!
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08-23-2009, 09:48 AM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Newton, N.J.
Posts: 121
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JLG,
Great score and very helpful insight you gave for your picks. I'd like to see you do some more. Ira |
08-23-2009, 10:24 AM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,854
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Jim,
Great work, you have been very diligent this year and it has been rewarded! Thanks for your detailed analysis, and I second Ira's notion to see more of it! Congratulations, Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
08-23-2009, 10:44 AM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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Awesome , Man.
Keep it up , let's read about many more. Patrick |
08-23-2009, 12:19 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Germany
Posts: 148
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Really good score... :-)
I am interested in the PaceLine Selection as well. |
08-23-2009, 01:08 PM | #17 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 353
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Thank you for all the well wishes. Didn't quit my job, perhaps if there were a few more zeros at the end of the payout I would have.
As far as pace line selection, I am somewhat still finding what works for me. I have read a lot of the articles, but here are the basics - I almost always start off with more than one pace line (again, Tim Y gets some props) for each horse if they are available. Later in my analysis, I will whittle it down many times because I don't think the projected pace will fit that race, the horse is going off form, etc.. - I am not afraid to go back more than 3 or 4 races, particularly if a horse is coming into their 2nd or 3rd race off a long layoff, and is improving in energy and %med. - Turf I use pizzolo method, or at least my understanding of it. At least that is my starting point. - I leave horses in the selections that I think have no shot, mostly because I want to see if they will effect the early pace to make an E type contender vulnerable. - Some of it is non rdss and pace line related. Alex Solis going to the 9 horse in the Del Mar Oaks for example (which didn't pan out, but I considered it enough to use that horse). I also own a horse or two at times with some friends, and we have gotten to know many of the trainers and assistant trainers in southern Cal. I am not afraid to give them a call to get their opinions, particularly on maidens and first timers. I will say it is unorthodox, as I am still finding my way sometimes, and race two is a good example of that. The race was on the poly track, but I used a turf line on the #2 horse. I did this mainly because the horse was improving, in my opionion, even if it was on the turf. I couldn't find any poly lines that looked like they would fit, and turf form has transferred to the poly track. I put him in there. Last edited by JLG; 08-23-2009 at 01:12 PM. |
08-23-2009, 01:10 PM | #18 |
turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 6,455
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Another great example of someone who understands BOTH sides of the equation: handicapping and the lost art of translating that information to WAGERING technique
Good moves in both arenas.
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Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind." |
08-23-2009, 05:34 PM | #19 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA.
Posts: 2,531
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great job!!
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i love every single minute of life, and, if one is lucky,then you must give it to others. |
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