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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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04-14-2017, 10:33 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Arkansas Derby Grade 1 1,000,000
I will post my look in a while
winner of the 2004 Arkansas Derby SMARTY JONES !!!! Go Smarty Go !!!! https://youtu.be/_1lAfa7hYxU |
04-14-2017, 10:34 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Horses
1, 2, 3, 4
Last edited by Bill V.; 04-14-2017 at 10:44 PM. |
04-14-2017, 10:35 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horse
5,6,7,8
Last edited by Bill V.; 04-14-2017 at 10:45 PM. |
04-14-2017, 10:46 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horse
9,10,11,12
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04-15-2017, 12:38 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Ark
I will use the tandem race of March18 R10
12-7-9 Bob |
04-15-2017, 12:57 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Lines
Grade 1 3 Year Old
Top 5 TPR last line 12, 7, 9, 3 ,4 fulcrum POR EPR 91.5 ( horse 12 ) Horses and notes . Horse 1. Rocklin Rudy Early No recent + races routing Has never faced this Fulcrum POR No Line Horse 2.Classic Empire. Morning line favorite Line 1, is a plus pace line, This is also new form cycle today Line 2 is a great line but I think line 1 is representative for a 70 day layoff ability Horse 3 Silver Dust Sustained Line 1 rates well ( top 5 TPR ) but today the EPR will have to improve He only shows 1 win against a slow MS pace Horse 4 Petrov EP With 3 year olds, I will excuse line 1 if line 2 is better and both are + pacelines within the current form cycle. Line 2 Horse 5 Grandpa's Dream 30/1 Early Line 1 is his maiden wn ( sentimental pick for Marianna Sartin ) but 30/1 and a slow POR EPR Horse 6 Lookin At Lee Sustained Great horse for ITM but what to do for a paceline ? Line 2 looks good but it is a trouble line ? Horse 7 Sonneteer Sustained Line 1 is a plus paceline but he has never won a race ! Horse 8 Rowdy The Warrior Line 1 is a a plus paceline but 30/1 This one just seems weak in the LPR Horse 9 Untrapped Sustained Presser Line 1 is a plus paceline Horsee 10 One Dreamy Dude Sustained still a maiden Horse 11 Conquest Mo Money Early Line 1 is a plus paceline Horse 12 Malagacy Early Presser Line 1 is a plus paceline |
04-15-2017, 03:20 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,162
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My contenders are 12-2-9-4-11
#2 L2 moves up to G1 after loss in G2 Holy Bull Counter energy #4 L2 moves up gets class test #9 L2 3rd G2 Rebel last looks to be headed in right direction #11 L2 3RD IN G3 Sunland Derby regular comes in for ride wise guy horse #12 L1 Winner of the G2 Rebel. Is 3-3 with increasing energy numbers. Pending the odds right now I'm leaning to 12-2-9-4-11. Will also be looking at the 3 &7 underneath to juice up exotics. Tim G
__________________
Trust but verify |
04-15-2017, 07:42 PM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Nice Bet guys
Lone Speed Tim and Lostandwon all had the 11 Conquest
at a nice price and almost won ! Nice place betting !!!! Classic Empire wins |
04-15-2017, 05:23 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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12-2-9-4--5
12 L 1 2 L 2, 9 L 2,4 L 2, 5 L 1 Picked these lines using What Bill put up. 12 has never lost 2 maybe better shorter and may have peaked last year 9 improving and last best, should like distance. 4 real speed at shorter and rates, a danger 5 on improve Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 04-15-2017 at 05:40 PM. |
04-15-2017, 06:22 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
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Looking for a win price with the 4 and 7
Back it up with the 2 and 12 in a Perfecta Good Skill Mike |
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