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06-24-2009, 02:50 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
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BEL 7th- Wednesday, June 24
These are my projected Sheet numbers. This is experimental. What I'm doing is using the standard Sartin "best of last three comparable races." I'm then getting an overall pace number similar to a Syn number. Then I'm adjusting for:
The lower the number the better. One full point is equal to one full length. This is the very first race I'm doing before the fact. Let's see what happens: Belmont 7th: http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdf...ssa_152741.pdf Belmont Park Changes Wednesday June 24, 2009 The Main Track condition is now: Fast The Turf Track condition is now: Yielding The weather at the Track is now: Partly Sunny, 75 Race: 7 No Superfecta Wagering 1 Charming Mandate Has been scratched #4 17.01 #7 17.62 #5 17.95 Basically, a three horse tie for win. #4 will probably be bet down like crazy. There might be some value betting #7 or #5. Have to see. #8 20.45 #6 21.40 #3 22.64 #2 27.33 |
06-24-2009, 04:55 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
|
#4 went off at 2-1
#7 and #5 both went off at 5/2 No value on the win end. I passed, but the four horse trifecta box was probably an overlay paying $141.50 Race: 7 Win Place Show 1st 5 Crazy Thing 7.20 4.00 2.90 2nd 8 Pu Dew 7.40 3.80 3rd 4 Smokin Sarah 2.60 4th 7 Stephen's Rhythm's $2 Exacta 5-8 44.00 $2 Trifecta 5-8-4 141.50 |
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