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02-16-2018, 11:36 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
|
Feb 16, 2018
Hey guys...
Like to get back in this again... Todays race Tam Race 7...the 11 is scratch My take: With many that can go early looking OTE taking the 5 & 1 Good luck Mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
02-16-2018, 01:17 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hello
Hi Mike
Its so nice to see you here on Pace and Cap You picked a nice race. Big field with a 3/1 morning line favorite I will take a look Bless Bill Last edited by Bill V.; 02-16-2018 at 01:19 PM. |
02-16-2018, 02:21 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 7 Tampa
My look
Tam 7 CL 5 N1-6M Purse 10.400 4 + I will use the Jan 21 Tampa race 4 tandem 7-12 as the fulcrum with a 89 EPR POR from horse 7 Horse 1 Brides Holiday 5/1 EP Right away, this one is a issue. This horse has been earning checks or is running competivly in Open 16 Claimers of the turf Today starts a new form cycle Its been moving up the claiming ladder since winning for 10,000 on Sept 30 at GPM were he won for 10,000 open So why today is he back on the dirt and running for only $5000 His Med Energy and E/L both seem to late for dirt horses going 7.0 at Tampa No line Horse 2 Oxford Street 10/1 Sus. Line 1 is a plus + race but at 8.5 furlongs The pace was much slower than i expect in this race E/L sticks look late No Line Horse 3 My Charming Clyde 6/1 Sus Line 1 is a plus paceline here at Tampa at this class. I see no 7 furlong races - nothing at 6.5 either, so the distance is an issue. E/L is just slightly toward the early side. Line 1 Horse 4 Country Alarm 12/1 Sus Presser I am thinking based on his EPR ratings he will be further back in this 7 furlong spring. He is a check earner routing so cutting back to a sprint shows no plus paceline in awhile I'm hoping his EPRs leave him coming up short here. No line Horse 5 Blessed At Mass NF 20/1 Router with slow EPRs 20/1 = no line Positve is he is coming back in 6 days Horse 6 Ned Devine EP 12/1 He has been of 316 Days In his other layoff over 200 days between lines 6 and 5 he did nothing No line Horse 7 Bonetown Wild 3/1 Presser Line 1 is a plus + paceline 26 days ago. Form is good, He is rested afer 26 days. All his + pacelines at differnt distance all fit the Early /Late model of just slightly early. Line 1 Horse 8 Red Rose Cat Early 30/1 ML He should get a early lead If anybody runs near hime his fading patternwill justify his 30/1 ML Line 1 is a (+) He is a non contender but I will use him for a pace picture. Horse 9 Ausable 6/1 Presser 6/1 I will use the + paceline from line 3 I will excuse line 1 and 2 as he is dropping down from Open 8, also his first try at Tampa and line 2 from GP at 6250 open Line 3 is from 90 days ago His + races fit the 7.0 model Horse 10 Willful Warrior 30/1 Sus Shows nothing in last 2 lines at this class and distance Not today No Line Horse 11 SCR. Horse 12 Schettino 15/1 Early Line 2 is a perfect picture of what I exppect today He ran a 88 EPR and completely stopped trying to run with the 7 therefore in todays race he has no usable paceline recently No Line I will go with 3 and 9 |
02-16-2018, 03:45 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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3-1-7
Mitch44 |
02-16-2018, 03:50 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,154
|
Very suspect field in this one. Contenders 39712.
2mins to post I'll play the odds $2wp 3 &9 and $1ex box 1-3-7-9 $1exs 1379/2. Tim
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Trust but verify |
02-16-2018, 04:02 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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COMPLETED: c94d6-3768b TAM
#7 $4 Win 3 none $4.00 $23.60 + $19.60 Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 02-16-2018 at 04:04 PM. |
02-16-2018, 04:08 PM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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The 3
Way to go Mitch and Tim
The 3 runs like a champ and the 7 makes a nice excata |
02-16-2018, 04:23 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Nice call men.
Mitch44 |
02-16-2018, 05:46 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Nice going guys!!
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
02-16-2018, 06:37 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,154
|
Nice job Bill and Mitch. Nice to see us old timers still doing pretty good with these posted races. Thanks to mikesal for posting it.
Tim
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