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12-02-2012, 12:25 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
|
Dec cycle
Here is a race not included in my contest cycle will be put here.
50 win 1 and 8 , hiding the 4 currently 2-1
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12-02-2012, 01:18 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Lone Early
Hi Patrick
Thank you for the screen shot of the race. I followed along. The favorite 4 won some points I saw The race was for 9.0 furlongs ! and most of these horse have issues Here are the enetries I have the 4 as a LONE EARLY Here is how I read the conditions I only have lines for a few horses But I did call the favorite as a lone Early The 5 went wire to wire last race but it has never broke for the lead before The 4 has shownmore consistant ability to break well and go right to the lead Who else in the race can out break the 4 and is in form ? here are my notes Conditions 3year old and up which have never won 3 races Or 3year olds and up which have not won a race since May 28 or Three year olds Life time records H1 3-9 Age 3 gets in with 3 wins last win aug 17 H2 14-57 Age 8 gets in with 14 wins but has not won in 2012 Long layoff no form No line H3 6 - 53 Age 6 Gets in with 6 wins but with no wins this year NF 20/1 H4 4-25 Age 5 gets in with 5 wins but has not won since March Lone E No recent line H5 2-10 Age 3 just won last race Line 1 H6 8-44 Age 6 Gets in with 8 wins but has no form or wins since May 28 H7 2-18 Age 4 Gets in having never won 3 races Line 1 Sus 1 H8 4-18 Age 5 Gets in with 4 wins has not won since Feb long layoff |
12-02-2012, 02:39 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
|
Hey Bill
I kinda knew the 4 would be tough to beat, but last 2 he did get beat, so top 3 VDC I went for value here, and this time the 4 was strong enough to win. This happens, sometimes it happens where it occurs in streaks, and the objects is to be on the side of the streak where it does lose. Wierd , maybe, but it's the thinking here. Best of capping this month. Patrick
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12-02-2012, 02:49 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
Thanks Patrick
Thanks for the open conversation on your posted race.
I appreciate the work you put into your selection Good Skill Bill |
12-02-2012, 03:02 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
|
Bill you are very welcome and even thou we seem to be like two older trucks passing in the night, each going 65mph's in opposite directions, both trying to reach the same place safely, The "Profit Zone" , and even thou we do things differently we reach the same place quite often, think alot of that has to do with RDSS and what it gives out when you go digging into a race.
For me the color makes seeing things better and for me RED is like your plus, (+) and no color is to me a , zero (0), yet we see this differently, while doing the same things. Thanks to Ted for the colorazation, is that a word ? Gotta run more later Always welcome Bill, I will do my best to answer patrick
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12-02-2012, 03:14 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
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Ambiguous Condition
Bill,
You read the condition, as it appears, correctly. However, I don't believe the condition, itself, is printed correctly. Here's why. The purpose of a condition is to limit eligibility for entry into the race. So let's look at the condition as it appears. Condition ONE - "THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES" This is straight forward. Any three year old, or older, that has never won three races is eligible. Condition TWO - "THREE YEAR OLDS" IF "any" three year old can enter the race, then why is there a need to previously limit the race to "three year olds and upward which have never won three races"? Condition THREE - "WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 28, 2012" What does this mean? Which horses are limited to not having won a race since May 28,2012?? Three year olds only??? Older horses only???? I believe there is one too many "OR's" in the condition. I believe the condition was meant to read as follows: "FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 28,2012" THIS makes sense!! Now the race is limited to three year olds and upward which have never won three races OR three year olds which have not won a race since May 28,2012. Under the limits of the condition written in this way; - any horse age 3 or older are limited to 2 prior wins. OR - 3 year olds ONLY can have more than 2 wins, but are limited to "zero" wins since since May 28, 2012.
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"It's suppose to be hard. If it was easy, everybody would do it." Jimmy Dugan, A League of Their Own |
12-09-2012, 12:36 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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gp 1st 12/9
50 win 2 and 4 hiding the 11 horse
trusting the program has been tricky lately, as we all know my Pacelines are the best, no need to fix that issue, I am the best when picking lines, period ! may be tough filling this cycle , but will try, my other cycle started good, but has fallen quickly to mere muddle, oh well.
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12-09-2012, 12:52 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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gp 1st 12/9 RESULT
Upside down, nothing in the program giving the 5 the win
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12-09-2012, 01:03 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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Gp 2 12/9
70 win 5 and 30 win 6 hiding the 3 at 3-1 currently
if i say this it means there is doubt, right? Will the 1 come up and bite me, the m/l fav
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12-09-2012, 01:20 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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GP 2 12/9 results
GOLDSTAR and my 6 was 3rd, oh well
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