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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It? |
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04-16-2016, 02:43 PM | #11 |
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
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Lau R10
Pace: 23 - 46.8
OTE Contenders: 4-6 1. Far Back - will be coming late - Fit Exactor - Out 2. Far Back - Out 3 - FTS - no strong workout pattern - Out 4 - Contender - competitive, will have first jump on leaders 5 - Long layoff - Out 6 - Contender - Speed of the Speed, does not need the lead. If rated dangerous 7 - Scratch 8 - Speed - needs the lead - my hope #6 does not hook up with her. If speed duel develop #1 has big shot. - Out 9 - Far Back - Out 10 - Far Back - out Win: 4 - 6 |
04-16-2016, 03:11 PM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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Pat,
Interesting take on the 11. Didn't notice that and you are right it is not matching but you couldn't possibly be on him doing the Matchup. Thats okay, I realize I have put up a race with some parts missing as far as MU goes. Adds a bit of spice. Pook |
04-16-2016, 03:13 PM | #13 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,091
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Quote:
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
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04-16-2016, 05:08 PM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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Hey what do you know. One less piece of non-information.
3 is scratched.....the FTS Pook |
04-16-2016, 05:26 PM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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A little bit of the body has been scratched right out of'er.
Pook |
04-16-2016, 06:12 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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See earlier post for rationale.
5,6 Pook |
04-16-2016, 06:35 PM | #17 |
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
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Venting 1.1
What else will go wrong again. 4 lost rider and 6 second. I should start playing place bet again. Pook let's start place bet lol.
Race did setup for the #1. Last edited by The Pook; 04-16-2016 at 07:43 PM. |
04-16-2016, 07:43 PM | #18 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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Quote:
But seriously, PatC had the win! So congrats to him. I will post the chart later. I am not sure what it paid. I think the race ran pretty much to form. I'd like to look at a couple of things about it and will post those later. Intuition wise we shouldn't be looking at losing races for those of us that lost. But thats advanced stuff of which I don't think I am a part of yet. I have a question about the 6 and would like opinions. Later, Pook |
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04-16-2016, 08:46 PM | #19 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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The 6
Hi Pook
I am sorry I did not get to post my PASS comment . I just looked at the race when you put it up and knew I was out I apologize, but its been a busy day driving in Arizona and nearly home in Socal. Anyway about the 6 Its only 0-6 which is still workable . Its a Early. RDSS2.1 has it a E5 There are other E's in the race The 8 is a E8 so its going to battle the 4 and 8 Here is my TPR screen of my contenders I excuse the last line for the 6 and went to line 2 the reason is line 1 was it's first try at Lrl since coming from GP But Line 2 only shows a very weak LP of 74 This horse has never broken my 80 LP floor So I think Even 5.5 is not going to help. as 5.5 dirt races tend to run with good 3rd fractions ( LPR) Thanks Bill |
04-16-2016, 10:53 PM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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No problems Bill. So that is what I mean about the 6. I had him has an OTE. He is not that! Some are tough to make calls on but I looked at his picture initially and saw a horse that is not 1st or 2nd at the first call most of the time. But he is trying to be! And he runs his best from the front! Am I not right?
Once you make him Early along with the 8 you have a different race? Same for the 4. An Early? That leaves 1 and 5 OTE. The 5 had that huge layoff so there is an issue there. I am pretty sure that Jim would have singled the 1 here. He wouldn't have broken a sweat getting there either. The 1 is the only legitimate runner that can pass horses and he is against multiple Early or wannabe Earlies. The ole 20/20 rearview mirror is crystal clear here. I make these slight errors in judgement too often for my liking. And that is the difference. The really good guys make just a few less errors and that makes all the difference in the world. I know Richie about the looking back stuff. But you have ten years on me at Matching. One day I hope to be there. I am improving but some of my initial impressions on running styles are plain wrong. It didn't pay much again but a single on the 1 I think is where Jim would have been and at 5-2 acceptable. Chime in anyone on your opinions on running styles in this race. Pook Last edited by The Pook; 04-16-2016 at 10:59 PM. |
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