SAR Sunday Aug 20 - Pace and Cap

Ted Craven · 08-20-2023, 11:00 AM

My take - Today's Selections (putting this in the Saratoga Meetup Forum)

Saratoga Sunday Aug 20

R1 5-12-4-1A (9=Lone E, should not be a threat)

R2 6-3-5-4 (#3 is best E of 5 Es! #6 is lone OTE, use best E, best OTE and rest of Top 4 4F - 4 Factor - horses)

R3 3-6-7-4

R4 3-5-4-2 (#6 too slow EP vs other Es 5,3)

More to follow ...

Dap Daddi · 08-20-2023, 12:17 PM

Ted: With the 3 horse scratched out of the 2nd race, I am leaning towards singling the 4 horse as she appears fresh. Again I don't know the New York racing circuit that well so I am relying on those of you that do.

Ted Craven · 08-20-2023, 02:53 PM

Dap, I ended up passing - all prices to efficient and not enough value for the risk.

One day the #4 horse will hit!

Ted

Ted Craven · 08-20-2023, 03:03 PM

Race 4 cashed. Bet Exacta Box 3-5-2 and Exacta Wheel 3 / 5-2.

FWIW, I chose to play the #2 instead of the #4 due mostly to its odds (7-1) and to its last race Tandem with the #3.

Not really able to post in real time my planned wagers - tooo much gong on. But still having fun!

Ted

Ted Craven · 08-20-2023, 03:10 PM

Here are Charlie B's selections for today, from the Saratoga Special local newspaper:

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Ted Craven · 08-20-2023, 03:27 PM

Race 5 - mostly FTS = no bets for me.

Based on workouts, on physicality inspection (thanks cratman!) and ProfitLine, we have 1-6-5 (the 3 top favourites)

Ted

Ted Craven · 08-20-2023, 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

Race 5 - mostly FTS = no bets for me.

Based on workouts, on physicality inspection (thanks cratman!) and ProfitLine, we have 1-6-5 (the 3 top favourites)

Ted

Also, Exacta payoffs for #5 were paying lower than they should have compared to Win Pool Odds (closer to the #6 horse's ~5/2 odds). I.e. someone/s had a good opinion of #5 and chose to 'hide' that opinion in the Exacta pool. Thanks omar and cratman for this insight.

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Ted

Dap Daddi · 08-20-2023, 03:54 PM

Thanks Ted: There is a horse I plan to wager a $100.00 win bet. The 7 horse in race 10. Sin Nombre. Was bumped at the start in his last race at the start. The Jockey / Trainer combination is 23%. Again this is a hunch play!

Ted Craven · 08-20-2023, 04:50 PM

Good luck Dap!

08-20-2023, 11:00 AM	#1
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	SAR Sunday Aug 20 My take - Today's Selections (putting this in the Saratoga Meetup Forum) Saratoga Sunday Aug 20 R1 5-12-4-1A (9=Lone E, should not be a threat) R2 6-3-5-4 (#3 is best E of 5 Es! #6 is lone OTE, use best E, best OTE and rest of Top 4 4F - 4 Factor - horses) R3 3-6-7-4 R4 3-5-4-2 (#6 too slow EP vs other Es 5,3) More to follow ... __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

08-20-2023, 04:50 PM	#9
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Good luck Dap! __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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08-20-2023, 12:17 PM	#2
Dap Daddi Dap Daddi Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Minneapolis Posts: 138	Ted: With the 3 horse scratched out of the 2nd race, I am leaning towards singling the 4 horse as she appears fresh. Again I don't know the New York racing circuit that well so I am relying on those of you that do.

08-20-2023, 02:53 PM	#3
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Dap, I ended up passing - all prices to efficient and not enough value for the risk. One day the #4 horse will hit! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

08-20-2023, 03:03 PM	#4
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Race 4 cashed. Bet Exacta Box 3-5-2 and Exacta Wheel 3 / 5-2. FWIW, I chose to play the #2 instead of the #4 due mostly to its odds (7-1) and to its last race Tandem with the #3. Not really able to post in real time my planned wagers - tooo much gong on. But still having fun! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 08-20-2023 at 03:05 PM.

08-20-2023, 03:10 PM	#5
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Charlie Bedard (gandalf) Selections Here are Charlie B's selections for today, from the Saratoga Special local newspaper: __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

08-20-2023, 03:27 PM	#6
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Race 5 - mostly FTS = no bets for me. Based on workouts, on physicality inspection (thanks cratman!) and ProfitLine, we have 1-6-5 (the 3 top favourites) Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

08-20-2023, 03:54 PM	#8
Dap Daddi Dap Daddi Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Minneapolis Posts: 138	Thanks Ted: There is a horse I plan to wager a $100.00 win bet. The 7 horse in race 10. Sin Nombre. Was bumped at the start in his last race at the start. The Jockey / Trainer combination is 23%. Again this is a hunch play!