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11-30-2008, 04:13 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Sunday "Cappin"
So you want to spend a nice day capping some races but do NOT really want to deal with
1) maidens 2) short fields 3) prohibitive odds on favorites 4) unknowns (fts/euro shippers etc) You DO want to work races that: 1) are competitive 2) might have favorite trying something for the first time 3) give you a feeling of having FUN when working them cause there is enough stuff to work with Here is a virtual card of races (before scratches)that fits the bill. First a little tune to get in that mood http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1yKgA...aynext_from=QL Aqueduct: Race 1 Fair Grounds: Race 6 Race 8 Race 9 Race 10 Golden Gate: Race 4 Race 8 Hawthorne: Race 5 Race 7 Race 8 Race 9 Hollywood: Race 5 Race 6 Philly: Race 2 Race 3 Race 5 Race 8 |
11-30-2008, 10:45 AM | #2 |
Former member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1,136
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Don't know if this one is as easy as it appears. The morning line favorite is distance challenged (a 2 turn mile is probably her max and the long FG stretch certainly won't help) and the only other horse in the race that can outrun a poodle, Lady Attack, is a very nice horse, the best in the race, who just happens to be coming off a 15 month layoff.
And, this one might not be on the turf, as they were sloppy yesterday. |
11-30-2008, 11:16 AM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
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The first at AQU is off the turf (as are all of today's turf heats), so you may wish to take that one off the list.
Scratches have yet to be posted - they take so long to do that at the NYC circuit, a real pain. |
11-30-2008, 11:39 AM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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cold a rainy
wet down here in south Jersey
So Philly Park s probably wet Bill Last edited by Bill V.; 11-30-2008 at 11:45 AM. |
11-30-2008, 12:24 PM | #5 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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FG
Main - Sloppy Turf - Off |
11-30-2008, 12:36 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Hey gang. Kinda crappy weather everywhere it seems.
John (Tfm): would you have a Fat Chart for the #7 Beatumhome's last race in Philly's 3rd? I'm liking him as a long shot (12/1ml).Think he matches up well and the slop shouldn't hurt Hope everyone has a great day. Turner Movie Classic cable channel is calling! |
11-30-2008, 12:46 PM | #7 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
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Quote:
There's also all of the PLANET OF THE APES films on Fox Movie Channel this weekend. |
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11-30-2008, 12:49 PM | #8 |
Former member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1,136
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Here you go.
I did a quick check of the followup races of the only other horse that showed some life in that race, Briansbrothersean: off the board sprinting; 3rd at 24:1 routing, when carried out 1st turn; and 2nd at 9:1 to a 4:5 shot sprinting. Last edited by tfm; 11-30-2008 at 12:53 PM. |
11-30-2008, 01:03 PM | #9 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
Hey I dont know how much it would take etc but have you ever considered making your charts for say 1 circuit and make them available to folks at a price? Far as I know they are one of a kind and extremely valuable the way you seem to use them. Patience waiting for nice situations to appear |
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11-30-2008, 01:25 PM | #10 | |
Former member
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1,136
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Quote:
The key is using them over time and getting to see what patterns work, and at which tracks. The problem, however, is that, with work, I can't keep up with as many tracks as I'd want to. Then, a race will come up and I'll go back and do the chart for a specific day and a horse will stick out, and, of course, come back and win. For example, I did the charts to look at the race for a horse running at FG the other day, and noticed the move in the attached chart. And I felt sick to my stomach. When I checked, she ran next out at RP, paying 24:1. My intent was not to sell them as they're merely graphed results charts. If anyone wants them I'm certainly willing to trade them for something I'd find useful (PPs, access to replays, etc.). |
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