1/4/14 SA 4th - Pace and Cap

PeteC · 01-03-2014, 05:17 PM

This weekend I picked a couple of turf races since the weather is so nice right now...

Capcondo · 01-03-2014, 11:19 PM

Good race. It looks like the 3 gets the lead here but has trouble holding on if not loose. He might get loose today. There is a fast tandem with the 2, 4, and 7 which goes 22.3 46 1:09.3 The 2 in that race likes to sit 2nd early and may do so unless the 8 (sprinter edges him out). The 8 is falling further behind so I don't think that will happen.

The 2 is my choice to win.

vderdak · 01-04-2014, 07:38 AM

I like last fractions that are competitive and horses that have won at the distance and track and the claiming pricing already so I will go with the #4. We shall see if he can repeat.

viikinki · 01-04-2014, 08:31 AM

#4 should be the winner

PeteC · 01-04-2014, 11:53 AM

The 3 looks like the strongest early, fighting through 47.1 and 111.0 at BHP. The 7 was on the lead at a similar pace last out but that was the only time this horse has been close to the lead so I won't count on that today. I also like the sprinter stretching out. Hat talked about looking for sprinters who hold or close position/lengths in sprints and who are 3-5 lengths faster than routers at the 6f mark. It's a little trickier with these 6.5f races at SA but in my experience this ones times are favorable. I'll take the 8 to win over the 3.

PeteC · 01-04-2014, 10:54 PM

The 3 gets the win holding off the sprinter stretching out...Thanks everyone for joining in this week.

01-03-2014, 11:19 PM	#2
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Good race. It looks like the 3 gets the lead here but has trouble holding on if not loose. He might get loose today. There is a fast tandem with the 2, 4, and 7 which goes 22.3 46 1:09.3 The 2 in that race likes to sit 2nd early and may do so unless the 8 (sprinter edges him out). The 8 is falling further behind so I don't think that will happen. The 2 is my choice to win. __________________ Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way.

01-04-2014, 10:54 PM	#6
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	The 3 gets the win holding off the sprinter stretching out...Thanks everyone for joining in this week. Attached Images

01-04-2014, 07:38 AM	#3
vderdak Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 130	I like last fractions that are competitive and horses that have won at the distance and track and the claiming pricing already so I will go with the #4. We shall see if he can repeat.

01-04-2014, 08:31 AM	#4
viikinki AlwNW3X Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 37	#4 should be the winner

01-04-2014, 11:53 AM	#5
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	The 3 looks like the strongest early, fighting through 47.1 and 111.0 at BHP. The 7 was on the lead at a similar pace last out but that was the only time this horse has been close to the lead so I won't count on that today. I also like the sprinter stretching out. Hat talked about looking for sprinters who hold or close position/lengths in sprints and who are 3-5 lengths faster than routers at the 6f mark. It's a little trickier with these 6.5f races at SA but in my experience this ones times are favorable. I'll take the 8 to win over the 3.