Del Mar 2012! - Pace and Cap

Ted Craven · 07-17-2012, 05:08 PM

Let the Summer begin

Let's look at this race (and the rest) again tomorrow for any value when the betting public join the fray.

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Enjoy!

Ted

lone speed · 07-18-2012, 11:21 AM

Alright, here we go and we kick off the 2012 Del Mar meet, one of the few bright spots in horse racing during the year. Great fan attendance and rich purse structures for the horsemen.

#6 It's Candy Time has three lines that are better than the field, so the question is who will run second as the others who have shown any route races are inferior. Normally, these type of races, most maidens haven't shown their true route ability yet, so it is like throwing a dart into the wind, but hey...it is the first race of the new meet...so let's give it a try...

Only Hanserella and Sing and Swing are the two who might figure in the final outcome besides Its Candy Time...Hanserella race well in a 5.5 furlong sprint at SA 3rd line back and ran close to some quick fractions of 21.3 and 44.4 in his second race back... Sing and Swing is a turf horse but should do well on the Del Mar polytrack..

Looking forward to the new season of racing at Del Mar...

Good Skills

So Cal Al · 07-18-2012, 02:01 PM

My RDSS readout looks identical to Ted's. No surprise there! Just a word of caution....the win rate of the favorite in the first race on Opening Day at DMR is dismal

Bill V. · 07-18-2012, 04:49 PM

Im looking at the 6 and 4 ( and the ladys ) but the odds look low
Maybe one of these ladys with 6 foot hats on can help me choose

GS
Bill

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Ted Craven · 07-18-2012, 05:02 PM

At 4 MTP, I like the 4 and 2 in the Win position

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JimG · 07-18-2012, 05:54 PM

Hope you don't mind me putting this race up. The upcoming 3rd at Del Mar where the crowd looks like it cannot decide on a favorite. My kinda race. I'm playing 1 and 3 to win and boxing 1-3-8 in exacta if the odds hold up.

What I do is start with auto paceline 2 (best perceptor, etc.), review the lines, then after checking the analysis for all horses I hide horses that do not have at least a 3 in a corollary or are not in top 2 netpace. Some races I hide several, some I hide none. The reason I do it this way is I like to look at all horses that may have a significant impact on the pace, especially for exotic purposes. Good luck to us should you join me.

Jim

Ted Craven · 07-18-2012, 06:13 PM

Jim, I went with the #1 and #4 (instead of the #3) in our COntest and $$$ (and the #1 in the PA Contest.)

I just didn't trust the truth of the performance of the #3 on those lower level tracks ...

JimG · 07-18-2012, 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

Jim, I went with the #1 and #4 (instead of the #3) in our COntest and $$$ (and the #1 in the PA Contest.)

I just didn't trust the truth of the performance of the #3 on those lower level tracks ...

1 lost a couple of lengths taking a misstep around the far turn that could have cost him the win there.

Jim

Ted Craven · 07-18-2012, 09:14 PM

Result

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07-18-2012, 05:02 PM	#5
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	At 4 MTP, I like the 4 and 2 in the Win position __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 07-18-2012 at 05:18 PM. Reason: added result

07-18-2012, 06:13 PM	#7
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Jim, I went with the #1 and #4 (instead of the #3) in our COntest and $$$ (and the #1 in the PA Contest.) I just didn't trust the truth of the performance of the #3 on those lower level tracks ... __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

07-18-2012, 09:14 PM	#9
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Result __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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07-17-2012, 05:08 PM	#1
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Del Mar 2012! Let the Summer begin Let's look at this race (and the rest) again tomorrow for any value when the betting public join the fray. Enjoy! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

07-18-2012, 11:21 AM	#2
lone speed Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 695	Alright, here we go and we kick off the 2012 Del Mar meet, one of the few bright spots in horse racing during the year. Great fan attendance and rich purse structures for the horsemen. #6 It's Candy Time has three lines that are better than the field, so the question is who will run second as the others who have shown any route races are inferior. Normally, these type of races, most maidens haven't shown their true route ability yet, so it is like throwing a dart into the wind, but hey...it is the first race of the new meet...so let's give it a try... Only Hanserella and Sing and Swing are the two who might figure in the final outcome besides Its Candy Time...Hanserella race well in a 5.5 furlong sprint at SA 3rd line back and ran close to some quick fractions of 21.3 and 44.4 in his second race back... Sing and Swing is a turf horse but should do well on the Del Mar polytrack.. Looking forward to the new season of racing at Del Mar... Good Skills

07-18-2012, 02:01 PM	#3
So Cal Al So Cal Al Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: San Diego/ La Quinta Posts: 214	My RDSS readout looks identical to Ted's. No surprise there! Just a word of caution....the win rate of the favorite in the first race on Opening Day at DMR is dismal

07-18-2012, 04:49 PM	#4
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	6 and 4 Im looking at the 6 and 4 ( and the ladys ) but the odds look low Maybe one of these ladys with 6 foot hats on can help me choose GS Bill

07-18-2012, 05:54 PM	#6
JimG Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 992	Hope you don't mind me putting this race up. The upcoming 3rd at Del Mar where the crowd looks like it cannot decide on a favorite. My kinda race. I'm playing 1 and 3 to win and boxing 1-3-8 in exacta if the odds hold up. What I do is start with auto paceline 2 (best perceptor, etc.), review the lines, then after checking the analysis for all horses I hide horses that do not have at least a 3 in a corollary or are not in top 2 netpace. Some races I hide several, some I hide none. The reason I do it this way is I like to look at all horses that may have a significant impact on the pace, especially for exotic purposes. Good luck to us should you join me. Jim Attached Images