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04-25-2017, 10:13 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
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(Hold or Fold?) PRX Apr25 6th
Heres a tough race for older horses full of speed at Parx today. I hope that the speed doesn't scratch out or that the track goes off.
Hold or fold? Pook |
04-25-2017, 10:14 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
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the rest...
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04-25-2017, 12:34 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,042
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No scratches trk good and sealed.
Tim G
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04-25-2017, 12:55 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
|
Okay no scratches. Hopefully the track stays good or goes fast.
I see a fold of 1,2,3,4. All need open lengths by the half and may not get it. The 6 I don't think is necessarily E in sprints and can win OTE. So 5,6,7 OTE. 5's current form is suspect. 6,7 with odds. Pook |
04-25-2017, 12:59 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2010
Posts: 1,676
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Prx 6
I very rarely play races with less than 8 betting entries, but will join in anyway.
My top two are the 3 & 7. rmath |
04-25-2017, 01:10 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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My order is 3-6-2-7-4
Have to leave asap so no time for lines etc. Mitch44 |
04-25-2017, 02:00 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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I say "Fold"...
Pacelines/Run Styles:
#1 - Line 4/Early. 2nd best PoR and Percept. #2 - Line 4/Early. 3rd best PoR, 4th best Percept. #3 - Line 8/Early-Early Fighter. Hasn't had to face a pressured PoR recently, hence the old line. 2nd best PoR and Percept. Can pass horses, doesn't need to bust out of the box. #4 - Line 3/Early. Took 4th best PoR as it hasn't faced such pressure last two outs. 4th best Percept too. #5 - Line 2/Sustained Presser. 2nd best PoR, top Percept. Line is at today's distance too, which is a plus. Looks like it will have some TT power, which could be crucial on this "off" surface. #6 - Line 2 (Extracted)/Early Presser. 3rd best Percept, but is weak vs. 170+ TE PoR's. Drops further down today and could be suspect in this type of a field. #7 - Line 3/Sustained Presser. 2nd best PoR and Percept total. Shows excellent form OTE. Basically a "3 matching Earlies" situation here between 2-1-3 in that order at F1. 1-2-3-4 are "E" runners based on the Energy ESP, which leaves #5 (EP), #7 (P), and #6 (SP) to counter the E energy types. #5 can pass horses, has had success on "off" surfaces and most importantly, is a "new" face in here. #7 can run in the middle of the pack and even though the E/L graph trends on the Early side, this one often runs its race and isn't affected much by the developed pace. #6 is visually an EP style runner, but unlike #7, tends to get bothered by how a pace develops. Betting two horses here without regards to Bottom Line (since this is more of a "Match Up" exercise), I would bet #5 and #7, and hope that we get a nice price on #5 to make it worthwhile. |
04-25-2017, 02:04 PM | #8 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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Quote:
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04-25-2017, 02:12 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,042
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I'll go with 7-4-3-6.
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Trust but verify |
04-25-2017, 02:27 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,042
|
Track now mdy.
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