M4$ Jun11 Chall20 (mowens33) - Pace and Cap

The Pook · 06-05-2016, 09:04 PM

Final Challenge

mowens33 · 06-10-2016, 05:45 PM

Wood 3

Ted Craven · 06-11-2016, 01:31 PM

Putting this up now (it's getting a little busy), though reserving the right to change selection before post time!

#6 or #3 both have the best chance off the numbers with #6 first among equals, IMO. But for Contest purposes only, and since this is the last day and I have some catching up to do

I have to go with #3 with the better ML Odds.

If necessary, I'll update this before post time.

Good luck all - and congratulations to all the participants in this Contest - great fun (and some profit).

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cigar · 06-11-2016, 01:48 PM

pace: 22.2 - 46.7
OTE
1 - pace pressure - out
1A - slow - out
2 - will press pace - out
3 - Contender
4 - Contender
5 - Pace - out
6 - Pace - out
7 - Contender

Win: 7 - 3

Capcondo · 06-11-2016, 01:51 PM

Appears there are no scratches here.

6 looks like the speed. She needs to be loose and the 1 can outbreak her. The 1 and 6 should be on the lead together. The 1st call should be 22.2 or 22.3. I think it will run OTE.

There is an Apr 22nd tandem which was very fast early involving the 1A, 2, 4, and 7. I think the winner will come from this race.

7: Gets in trouble and is too far back. Out.
1A; Too far back. OUT

This leaves me the 1A and the 4. I think the 1A will get involved with the 6 early.

The 4 is my choice to win the race.

PeteC · 06-11-2016, 02:01 PM

1,2,5,6 are EP's and I see the 6 taking the lead. I don't see him going all the way though. I will go OTE and take the 2 and 4...

cigar · 06-11-2016, 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cigar

pace: 22.2 - 46.7
OTE
1 - pace pressure - out
1A - slow - out
2 - will press pace - out
3 - Contender
4 - Contender
5 - Pace - out
6 - Pace - out
7 - Contender

Win: 7 - 3

Revised Win: 7 - 4 - price too low on #3 - need to make up ground

gandalf380 · 06-11-2016, 02:06 PM

looks to be some pace here. he might be too far back but I will take a chance on the 7. He will be running strongly in the stretch and he may have enough kick to catch the front runners at the wire.

#7 Quicklime.

mowens33 · 06-11-2016, 02:06 PM

22.2 - 45.7

1 - Contender
1A - out
2 - Contender
3 - Contender
4 - Contender
5 - out
6 - out
7 - Contender

Win: 2-7

The Pook · 06-11-2016, 02:06 PM

Projected 22.7 and 46. OTE. Contenders 3,4,7 can handle pace. 3,7 best positioned. 3 best horse but have to go with 4 and 7 for odds.
4,7
Thanks to all the contestants. Hope you all had fun! I am on hand here at my computer so I will post final standings soon after the race is official.
Pook

06-05-2016, 09:04 PM	#1
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,535	M4$ Jun11 Chall20 (mowens33) Final Challenge Attached Images

06-11-2016, 01:48 PM	#4
cigar 3-3-1 - 3-3-2 Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 394	Wo r3 pace: 22.2 - 46.7 OTE 1 - pace pressure - out 1A - slow - out 2 - will press pace - out 3 - Contender 4 - Contender 5 - Pace - out 6 - Pace - out 7 - Contender Win: 7 - 3

06-11-2016, 01:51 PM	#5
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Appears there are no scratches here. 6 looks like the speed. She needs to be loose and the 1 can outbreak her. The 1 and 6 should be on the lead together. The 1st call should be 22.2 or 22.3. I think it will run OTE. There is an Apr 22nd tandem which was very fast early involving the 1A, 2, 4, and 7. I think the winner will come from this race. 7: Gets in trouble and is too far back. Out. 1A; Too far back. OUT This leaves me the 1A and the 4. I think the 1A will get involved with the 6 early. The 4 is my choice to win the race. __________________ Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way.

06-11-2016, 02:06 PM	#8
gandalf380 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: central islip ny Posts: 1,090	wo r3 looks to be some pace here. he might be too far back but I will take a chance on the 7. He will be running strongly in the stretch and he may have enough kick to catch the front runners at the wire. #7 Quicklime. __________________ Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com

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06-11-2016, 01:31 PM	#3
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,853	Putting this up now (it's getting a little busy), though reserving the right to change selection before post time! #6 or #3 both have the best chance off the numbers with #6 first among equals, IMO. But for Contest purposes only, and since this is the last day and I have some catching up to do I have to go with #3 with the better ML Odds. If necessary, I'll update this before post time. Good luck all - and congratulations to all the participants in this Contest - great fun (and some profit). __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 06-11-2016 at 01:40 PM.

06-11-2016, 02:01 PM	#6
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Wo 1,2,5,6 are EP's and I see the 6 taking the lead. I don't see him going all the way though. I will go OTE and take the 2 and 4...

06-11-2016, 02:06 PM	#9
mowens33 Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2014 Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA Posts: 1,035	22.2 - 45.7 1 - Contender 1A - out 2 - Contender 3 - Contender 4 - Contender 5 - out 6 - out 7 - Contender Win: 2-7

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