Oaks/ Derby weekend Stakes races with Multiple "E" runners - Page 3 - Pace and Cap

Capcondo · 05-07-2011, 11:20 AM

I agree with others that this race has an enormous number of early runners.

The 1,2,3,4,6,8, and 11 are all E or EP horses. Since they're all not going to break well, I'm looking for a horse that can run from the 5th or 6th position at the first call against a very fast pace. I land on the 9 who did this 5 and 10 races back.

Choice is the 9

Derby:

There is enough early speed here to toss all the early horses. The 8 is the favorite and closed against a dead pace in the Florida Derby. I used the Florida Derby pace in the match up.

46.1 1:10.3 1:36.1 1:50.0

While the early pace was faster here than other races, the closing fraction was almost 14 seconds; Ugh!

I land on the 2 horse coming out of the Arkansas Derby. The 1 shows the best positions so at the risk of a bad trip, I'm on the 1.

Good Luck and good skill,

Tim

emilio840 · 05-07-2011, 01:45 PM

CD

In this race I think it will run early. I will go with #6.

emilio

khannamark · 05-07-2011, 03:26 PM

Good afternoon;
My picks for the Derby are #16 and #2, in that order. Ithink the race will go OTE but not from the caboose

mikesal57 · 05-07-2011, 04:14 PM

going with 4-13-17

win best each and box ex

gl
mikw

delmarscott2004 · 05-07-2011, 04:14 PM

tri / box 1 -- 19 -- 14 -- 3

60 / 40 win bet on two highest odds.

Scott

Bill Lyster · 05-07-2011, 06:03 PM

My Derby picks:

1-19-9-13

Dave Schwartz · 05-07-2011, 06:27 PM

1-15-8-7-13

PeteC · 05-07-2011, 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by khannamark

Good afternoon;
My picks for the Derby are #16 and #2, in that order. Ithink the race will go OTE but not from the caboose

Well done sir...hope you hit that one big! Awesome.

PeteC · 05-07-2011, 07:02 PM

Delaware race 9...That was a funny race to watch...avery horse was bunched together in front while the 9 was not even in the picture. Emilio you called the race running early with the 11. Bill, that gun to your head worked out okay on the 11 too.

Ted Craven · 05-07-2011, 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by khannamark

Good afternoon;
My picks for the Derby are #16 and #2, in that order. Ithink the race will go OTE but not from the caboose

Mark,

Congratulations indeed on Animal Kingdom!

Ted

05-07-2011, 11:20 AM	#21
Capcondo Grade 1 Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Tempe, Arizona Posts: 600	Delaware race #9 and the Derby I agree with others that this race has an enormous number of early runners. The 1,2,3,4,6,8, and 11 are all E or EP horses. Since they're all not going to break well, I'm looking for a horse that can run from the 5th or 6th position at the first call against a very fast pace. I land on the 9 who did this 5 and 10 races back. Choice is the 9 Derby: There is enough early speed here to toss all the early horses. The 8 is the favorite and closed against a dead pace in the Florida Derby. I used the Florida Derby pace in the match up. 46.1 1:10.3 1:36.1 1:50.0 While the early pace was faster here than other races, the closing fraction was almost 14 seconds; Ugh! I land on the 2 horse coming out of the Arkansas Derby. The 1 shows the best positions so at the risk of a bad trip, I'm on the 1. Good Luck and good skill, Tim

05-07-2011, 03:26 PM	#23
khannamark improver Join Date: Nov 2007 Location: Toronto Ont. Canada Posts: 21	Kentucky Derby Good afternoon; My picks for the Derby are #16 and #2, in that order. Ithink the race will go OTE but not from the caboose

05-07-2011, 04:14 PM	#24
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	going with 4-13-17 win best each and box ex gl mikw __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

05-07-2011, 04:14 PM	#25
delmarscott2004 delmarscott2004 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Orange County California Posts: 132	Kentuckey Derby 05.07.11 tri / box 1 -- 19 -- 14 -- 3 60 / 40 win bet on two highest odds. Scott

05-07-2011, 06:27 PM	#27
Dave Schwartz Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Reno, NV Posts: 119	1-15-8-7-13 __________________ The Horse Handicapping Authority .com email address: DaveSchwReno@Gmail.com Facebook: Talking Handicapping

05-07-2011, 01:45 PM	#22
emilio840 Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: I live in Toronto, Ontario, can Posts: 220	CD In this race I think it will run early. I will go with #6. emilio

05-07-2011, 06:03 PM	#26
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	My Derby picks: 1-19-9-13

05-07-2011, 07:02 PM	#29
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Delaware race 9...That was a funny race to watch...avery horse was bunched together in front while the 9 was not even in the picture. Emilio you called the race running early with the 11. Bill, that gun to your head worked out okay on the 11 too.

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