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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It? |
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03-05-2016, 04:30 PM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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AQU 10
Pass Tim |
03-06-2016, 09:31 AM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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Ted was the only taker of the short priced favourite.
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03-06-2016, 09:39 AM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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We are in a run of short prices here. I really tried to find a race with what I thought would have a price but to no avail. We were all aware of the 4 and he was dominant. It is difficult to land on races where the public is wrong. To at least beyond single figures wrong. Here are this years prices all hit by at least one player. And the average payoff.
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03-06-2016, 09:48 AM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,540
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Here are the payoffs hit be at least one player in the 2015 Matchup Contest. 60 hits of 76 opportunities. So far this year we are below average in price and number of hits beyond single digits. The double digit prices accounted for about one third overall which is consistent with my own personal daily activity. So over time this years numbers should rise but we will have only 20 opportunities to do it as compared to the 76 of last year.
Pook Last edited by The Pook; 03-06-2016 at 06:40 PM. |
03-06-2016, 11:13 AM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,858
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In a betting context, I would take bets like that all the time. A very well ranked, and likely favourite which will still cover my 2 horse wager if it wins (i.e. a hedge). Then a juicy longshot (in my own mind, at least ) which I would split Win/Place. Of course I want the longshot, but I don't want to lose 100% of my wager if I'm wrong.
Perhaps that strategy was not such a good idea in the context of this Contest. Next ... Ted
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03-06-2016, 04:22 PM | #16 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Good thoughts Ted
In the real world you can also bet 60/40 Or 70/30 Betting 50/50 is hard for us in this contest |
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