|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Today's Posts | Search |
General Discussion General Horse Racing Discussion |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
08-16-2020, 11:42 PM | #1 |
Happy Punting
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Toronto, Ontario
Posts: 482
|
Csr ?
Is it a fair statement to say that the winner usually comes in from the top 5 in CSR?
Thank you in advance. Happy Punting Jon |
08-17-2020, 08:04 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
|
You all have the simplest contender selection method at your fingertips: the much maligned ML:
Top ML wins 34% Second ranked ML wins 21% Third ranked ML wins 15% Fourth ranked ML win 11% So top 4 Ml wins better than 80%. Just the top 2 wins 55%. Sartin's Yellow manual suggested using top 5 ML. That should get you close to 90%. Don't waste your time "picking" contenders. The game is how you rate them (As, Bs, Cs, Xs) and how you bet them. Richard |
08-17-2020, 11:49 AM | #3 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 324
|
Quote:
I heard you can right-click on it if you think the number is negatively affected by an troubled/excusable line in the last 1-4 races. Good handicapping and happy punting Mike
__________________
just keeping my trajectory in the positive http://sartinmethodology.com/pubs/RD...d_Glossary.pdf |
|
08-18-2020, 01:52 PM | #4 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
Quote:
|
|
08-18-2020, 03:17 PM | #5 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 324
|
Quote:
meaning: if not using the M/L you go to BPP as the 1st filter, then PL. Am I interpreting this correctly? Mike
__________________
just keeping my trajectory in the positive http://sartinmethodology.com/pubs/RD...d_Glossary.pdf |
|
08-18-2020, 03:25 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
I just listed all the top five BPP and any other horse that was not top five BPP, but was top 5 PL. There was a race yesterday at PARX where all horses were either top 5 BPP or PL, nine in total! I just showed the BPP stat for comparison, I agree with Richard Diamond, but either category is about the same, its just that sometimes the BPP/PL info includes too many horses. Usually the ML will have no more than 6 if there is a tie in ML odds in the top 5.
|
08-18-2020, 03:26 PM | #7 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
|
Quote:
If you have it. Pook |
|
08-18-2020, 03:32 PM | #8 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 324
|
Quote:
Mike
__________________
just keeping my trajectory in the positive http://sartinmethodology.com/pubs/RD...d_Glossary.pdf |
|
08-18-2020, 04:18 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,164
|
It stands to reason that Profit and Prime may have more than 5 contenders in their top 5 for a race since they use different factors to reach their conclusions. For instance Profit Line does rate FTS while Bris doesn't. Based on my studies, I know, that the winner of most races at most tracks is contain in the top 5 of at least one of them and a lot of times both 90% of the time. It just a matter of preference what one uses to get their contenders. No matter what is use we still must do our work.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
08-18-2020, 05:58 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
I did a little work on exactas and trifectas, but nothing on win mutuals. How many horses are you looking to put into your win bet? Obviously, that affects ROI. Top two in each of ML and BPP?
|
|
|