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08-26-2008, 09:33 PM | #1 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
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Counter Energy
I've moved this discussion from the selections folder. Feel free to weigh in.
Quote:
Lou, I guess I didn't make myself clear. Yes, I certainly agree late runners are doing well at DMR routes. Perhaps not quite as well as last year, but still that's the running style you want to bet on, everything else being equal. And in general I think it's perfectly acceptable to use turf pacelines when handicapping a DMR dirt route. My only point was that using counter energy for the place horse is dangerous in a race with many unknowns. Personally, I'm not that big a fan of counter energy in the best of circumstances. It just didn't work well consistently enough to be a reliable indicator. Let me rephrase that in a way that is meaningful. I have lost a lot of money using counter energy horses for the second place in the exacta when that was the only reason to include such a horse in my exotic bet. When many horses have unknown abilities it makes it even a shakier proposition. I'm talking about for second place in the exacta only. Hope I've clarified that now. And I hope you blew some money foolishly with that score. I sure did! :>) |
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08-27-2008, 06:15 AM | #2 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: NYC and San Diego
Posts: 627
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