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Old 07-16-2013, 09:38 PM   #1
Bill V.
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MNR Race 8

Here is a CL 5 Non winner of 4 at MNR
The big favorite looks real tough
but maybe some early pressure and the tandem will work out

I doubt this will work out but maybe just a small win bet
while I get ready for Del Mar tomorrow

MNR Race 8 CL 5 N4 -L

Horse 1 No line 30/1 ML last 3 tries at this level poor
Horse 2 Line 1 I would give this on a (+)
comment says bid edged 3rd Not a
real fast POR but it was only beaten by2.75
H3 Line 3 I'm not sure about the class ladder
at MNR but based on the RC it looks like line 1 and 2 my have been tougher that todays N-4 L
H4 Line 2 The open CL 10 at Tdn did not go well
H5 No line but it is coming back off a 4 week rest ?
H6 Line 1 4 plus races last 4 races big favorite
H7 No line but will be in the Early pace
H8 No line but another 4 week rested horse
The last time it had a rest between lines 5 and 4 The horse won at CL 5 N3 -L

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Old 07-16-2013, 09:47 PM   #2
Bill V.
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Panic

The 6 is 1/5
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Old 07-17-2013, 05:10 AM   #3
Because I Can Jim
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I watched that race. For a second there, I thought Regal was going to get beat.
I have started watching the MNR races in the evening while I am handicapping. I find it interesting listening to what the commentators have to say about each race. I don't know the names of the male and female (since I have just started watching) but the first thing the gentleman said was to the effect of "There is no one else in this race." Which is fine - his/their opinions. Then the woman says "Well, what about this horse." They go on to make a case for almost every horse in every race. I just find it interesting to listen to as filtered through my own opinion of a race.
I personally have a saying that I abide by - "No one knows what you think they know." I keep this in mind when I listen to the "experts" to remind me that my opinion/thinking is all that matters. It is alright to listen to what the experts say, but, it is your job to evaluate it. The president of a company doesn't know everything. He has to listen to the experts. But, the quality of his evaluation is based upon how knowledgeable he is about the subject. For example, I know nothing about natural gas. I can listen to experts, but, I have no way of evaluating what they have to say about it. However, the more I read, study and learn about natural gas, the better my judgements will be about what the experts have to say.
The same with listening to the commentators. If I know nothing about racing (like my wife), something strikes a cord with whatever they say and she will pick a horse other than Regal even though he said right up front... bet this horse and go home. She would/did not hear that. A more knowledgeable handicapper would evaluate what was being said and may or may not land on the same horse as my wife, yet, I find it interesting to speculate how the commentators can sway what money goes into what pools.
Ahhhh.... I am rambling....
I just hope you didn't listen to the commentators, Bill, and put your money on my wife's horse! LOL
Jim
P.S. I enjoyed seeing the photos from your mom's B-day. Thanks!
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Old 07-17-2013, 10:31 AM   #4
Bill V.
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Some times I get jealous of the pick 3, 4, 5, 6 players
They get to "throw in" horses like horse 8.

I saw the pattern between line 4 and 5

Quote:
H8 No line but another 4 week rested horse
The last time it had a rest between lines 5 and 4 The horse won at CL 5 N3 -L
But I have my own way to bet and how far back I will go for a line
based on the pace line manual
It works but nothing works all the time
Line 4 gets you 4th
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Last edited by Bill V.; 07-17-2013 at 10:36 AM.
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