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RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology

 
 
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:16 AM   #11
RichieP
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the 10.

lines 2 and 3 show life.
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:31 AM   #12
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ok gonna throw the 1,3,6 out immediately.

ok so we want to see the new look screen( bl/bl) so let's pick some lines

2 horse - last line where he ran 2nd

4 horse - 2 back where he missed by less than 5 lenghts

5 horse - 2 back where he raced well til the stretch in a route

7 horse - gonna use 3 back route internals.

8 horse - gonna use 6 back route internals where the early pace was "sprint like". also gonna keep last line as that line can influence early pace.

9 horse - line 2 route internals

10 horse - gonna use both the 2nd and 3rd lines. Tough horse.

ok so now here are those lines RAW on the analysis screen
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:33 AM   #13
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here is the Perceptor with all these colors and stuff
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:35 AM   #14
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the primary screen.
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:37 AM   #15
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the bl/bl screen with all the stuff going on here
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:42 AM   #16
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removed a few lines to clear picture a bit.

1) how does the 2 win if he needs the lead and the 8 races like he did in last?
look at how early the 8 is. The 2's life should be over and the 8 stops like he is shot on his own.

This race is "Other Than Early" on paper with the field intact. For MY betting I REMOVE the 2 and 8 from win consideration IMMEDIATELY. if they beat me so be it.

I will post result chart tonight

safe day

Richie
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:46 AM   #17
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Other Than Early

For ME I have removed the 2 and 8 horses. this is what things look like now

This is RAW unadjusted
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Old 01-16-2007, 10:47 AM   #18
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this is the bl/bl showing ADJUSTED data.
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Old 01-16-2007, 11:20 AM   #19
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Richie, thanks for all the effort you put into this workup - I know it takes time!

Just to clarify a few items:

on the BL/BL screen, the far right, RS (Running Style) column does not match the Running Style shown on the Original screen,. Right now, the BL/BL RS is merely the ESP column duplicated. It will eventually show your visual Running Style designation (or the software's assessment), to compare with the Energy disbursement ESP style. Early Speed Points will also show up somewhere.

The Perceptor screen is the same Primary Factors as in Speculator, except reversed, in that the owner of the BEST number is shown as 0.0% (rather than 100% in Spec) and all other values are shown as a percentage deviation from 0% - makes it easier to see the distinctions, I think. The P1 Total ranks and margins of separation remain the same.

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Old 01-16-2007, 01:29 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP View Post
this is the bl/bl showing ADJUSTED data.
is a $ 19.40 win price ok for a 2nd ranked horse here?

Key is eliminating the earlies( even though that cost the place horse. THAT happens a lot when using matchup techniques)

The race certainly ran "Other than early didn't it?)

safe day
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