Multiple "E" runners - Fri and Sat - Penn - Haw - Prx

[mikesal57]

LOL...Mr FTL beat me

[Bill Lyster]

I used the 8 for the pace 24.1-48.5-113.8; the 24.1 cooks most of the other earlies and 8 needs open lengths to win.

OTE for me with the 2 running from 4-5th, and he has faced todays pace or better with good results many times;

2nd choice would be the 5 who has run credibly from 4th but a little too close to the pace. Best races are as E/P from 2nd. The 6, the lone S looks too slow

good luck tomorrow.

[Bill V.]

Parx Race 7

On the lead or within 1 Bl while trying for the lead

           Br  Pos. By  Fin. Pass Horses 
Horse 1 E/P
Line10     2   2 -.5    9      no
Line8      2   2 -.5    5      no
   
Horse 2 Early
Line10     1   1 -.hd   1      No W/W
Line8      4   3 -.nk   1      Yes
Line7      1   4 -.nk   2      Yes
Line6      1   2 -.hd   4      No
Line5      1   1 -.5    2      No
Line4      1   2 -.5    6      No
Line2      1   1 -.5    4      No
Line1      1   1 - 1    1      No W/W
  
Horse 3 Early
Line8      1   1 - 1    1     No W/W
Line6      3   1 - 1    4     Yes
Line4      2   2 -.hd   3     No 
Line3      1   2 -.hd   4     No
Line2      1   1 - 1    6     No 
Line1      1   1 - 1    1     No W/W
   
Horse 4 Presser
Line2      3   2 -.hd   1     Yes  

5. E/P
Line7      1   3 -.6    2     Yes
Line5      1   1 - 1    1     No W/W
Line3      1   2 -.hd   2     No
Line2      2   2 -.hd   6     Yes

6. Early
Line6      1   3 -.nk   3     Yes
Line3      1   1 - 2    1     No W/W
Line2      1   1 -.hd   4     Yes
Line1      4   1 - 1    5     Yes 

Horse 7 SUS
 
Horse 8  Early
Line10    1    2 -.hd   6     No 
Line5     1    1 - 1    1     Yes
Line4     4    1 - .hd  8     Yes
Line3     3    1 - .hd  5     Yes
Line1     1    1 - 1    6     No     

Horse 9  S/Presser
Line5     2    2 -.hd   4     Yes

Horse 10  E/P
Line4     3    2 -.hd   1     Yes
Line2     4    3 -.6    2     Yes 

Horse11   Early
Line7     1    4 -.7    3     Yes
Line6     2    2 -.5    3     no
Line5     1    1 - 1    7     No
Line4     4    2 -.hd   1     Yes
Line3     2    2 -.hd   5     Yes

Horse12  S/P
Line1     2    2 -.5    1     Yes

[Bill V.]

Tandems. There are a few tandems that can help in this race
The main ones are.
8-1 11Jan11 Parx 6.5 22.2 44.9 109 115.9
10-3 12Mar11 Parx 6.5 22.5 45.3 110 116.5
3-12 21Feb11 Parx 6.0 22.7 45.7 57.6 110.6
10-3 15Jan11 Parx 6.0 22.6 44.8 56.2 108.4
8-5 5Mar 11 Parx 6.0 22.2 44.7 56.9 110.7
12-6 1Mar11 Parx 6.0 22.2 45.2 57.9 109.8
The key Tandem may be the 5-1-12-11
12Apr11 Parx 5.5 22.2 44.7 58.1 104.6 Mdy track
which would be the FPLR also

since I can't post this any later I will go on doing the
race expecting a fast track

For todays Projected Pace of race Horse 6 is my Key
22.1 44.4 110.0
Ill check the running styles
Pure Early Group
Horse 2 Hey Now 21.8 44.8 can pass horse but not lately
Horse 3 Man Of Danger 22.5 45.3 will not pass OUT
Horse 6 Not For money 22.1 44.4 Will fight and pass horses
needs opening more than 1 BL
Horse 8 Sundance Richie 22.2 44.7 Pass horses No once line 3 OUT
Horse 11 Deanoguska 21.7 43.9 claimed 2 times and since has
not wanted the lead in either
Form?
Problem with this race all the earlys except H2 seem to setting fast paces
around Jan11 - Jan15 which shows a -22 DTV
dont know what that equates to today but its in my mind.

E/P Group
Horse 1 Vigors Storm Powerline 4 excuse mdy last
Horse 5 Michael Trifecta also runs Early but will Press today

Press Group
Horse 4 Proud Ally Powerline 3
Horse 9 Cat Nip Denny Like last line near FPLR 2 in a row ?
Horse 10 Like An Eagle ML fav will be tough Powerlines last 2

S/P Group
Horse 12 Elector Powerlines line 3- 4 mud excuse last race

Sus Group
Horse 7 Liger Powerline line 2 amd back in the day at DEL
APV and CR says maybe not
Matching Lines
out 3 8 11 probably 2 5
Matching Horses
out 12 4 6
left 7 9 10 1 5
My bets 9 and 10

GS
Bill V.
Fontana CA

[PeteC]

Prx Race:
Scratch 2 and 6…

3 and 8 are the main earlies and 5 is an E/P who can run a similar pace. I’ll look for an OTE runner from 4th position against a 22.1 44.4

OTE runners and winning 1C positions…
#1- 1st or 2nd position…no
#4- best races from 2nd, 7th and 4th. Line 3 prom Pen 22 46 7-5-3-1. yes
#7- 3rd, 12th, 6th, not against today’s pace though, NO
#9 – 2nd, 9th and 4th. Last line 21.4 45.1…2-2-3-1…Yes
#10- 2nd 3rd, 4th…Line 6 21.3 45.0 3-3-2-1…Yes
#11 – 2nd position…No
#12- 4th and 2nd…last 2 races were bad against today’s pace…No

Left with 4, 9 and 10.
4 22 7th by 6.6 at 1C
9 21.4 2nd by 3 at 1C
10 21.3 3rd by 1.6 at 1C…Best Prx line 22.3 2nd by a head
Down to the 9 and 10…The 9 looks like it will be closer to the pace at the 1C.

[emilio840]

Haw:

I figured the race will run OTE. The #3 has 2 different running styles so I will go with the #3.

Prx:

Here I like the #10. The race should run OTE. The 10 can win from 4th or 3rd and came very close from winning when he was in the 5th position.

emilio

[mikesal57]

Prx 7TH

With the scratches of the 2-4-6..lets see how far the 5 takes em...

[Bill V.]

Hawthorne race
Tandems
1-7-8 30Ot10 Haw 8.5 24.4 48.1 112.8 145
7-5-1 24Apr10 Haw 8.5 24.4 48.4 112.9 143.7
3-2 26Mar11 Haw 8.5 24.1 47.9 112.7 145.3

FPLR Horse 5 8.0 Navy Wings 24 47.5 111.4 137.1 OP
Hats Match Up shows Hawth. faster than OP !

Projected pace 23.7 47.1 112.2 145.4

Running styles
Early Group
Horse 3 Big Looie 24.1 47.9 112.7 will Pass horses
Horse 7 Racing Bran 24.4 48.1 112.8 will pass horses
Horse 8 Hydro Power 23.8 46.7 111.8 gives up leads consistanly

E/P Group
Horse 1 He's Bonafide also will take lead Powerline 3
Horse 4 Denham also can get lead against slower Powerline ? turf

S/P Group
Horse 5 Navy Wings Powerline line 4

Sus Group
Horse 2 Slewzoom Powerline 6
Horse 6 Ice Climber Powerline ?? Turf

Matching Horse
0uts 4 Dont see a E-E/P turf horse here
7 Has lost twice in tandems to Horse 1 plus 175day layoff
3 Eight is faster early

Matching Line

Readouuts say the 8 1 2
tough race for me to bet with
what the heck 1 - 2


GS
Bill

[mikesal57]

Originally Posted by mikesal57

Prx 7TH

With the scratches of the 2-4-6..lets see how far the 5 takes em...

going with the 1 & 5

gl

not too thrilled with the 5 tho

[PeteC]

Hawthorne Race.

Earlies 4, 7 and 8. Looking for an OTE winner from 4th against 48.2 113.3.

#1 has done best from 3rd position or closer…Not ideal, but maybe good enough.
#2 has done well from 3rd 4th and 5th, but that was not a good effort after the layoff. No
#3 has done best from 2nd position in routes. No
#5 Best from 2nd or 5th position. Has been beaten in 3 tandems though. No
#6 is better on turf. No

Though none are a perfect fit, I’ll take #1 as my pick.