Gotham - Pace and Cap

Tim Y · 03-04-2023, 12:19 PM

I have NOT seen a more difficult race to figure in quite some time. MANY improving here but MOST on Maiden races.

Speed from the outside...can it get over? Too many questions in this one will have to just watch.

Any insight I missed?

CheckMark · 03-04-2023, 01:01 PM

Nope you seem to be on the same page as I see it

Off track conditions (Muddy) so everyone here will try to bid for the lead so they don't get mud thrown at them lol

Lots of early speed in this race as everyone is E or E/P except for #1 #15 (P) and #2 (S) so will be interesting to see the early fractions here

This race will offer a lot of value regardless of the bet you do due to the big field and also this racing being wide open

I think the #13 and #14 will go right to the front and #14 best at 80% lead projection according to me

The bet I decided to do was $5 Exacta Box 5-10-11-13-14 which does cover the #13 and #14 along with the other 3 contenders I like here

Going to be a good race along with the Fountain of Youth over at Gulfstream which Forte towers over and the San Felipe stakes where I think that race too might offer some value

Picks for those races
FOY GP: $12 Exacta 4/2-3-5-6-7-8-9-10

SFS SA: $16 Exacta 2/1-3-7-8-9-10

Good luck to all!

Tim Y · 03-04-2023, 05:07 PM

12 11 6 13 at the wire winner 23/1

CheckMark · 03-04-2023, 06:10 PM

Damn Forte looked cooked heading around the 3/4 but dug in turning for home to go away.

That exacta was poor but then again not surprising since Forte was on top just needed that #9 for 2nd as it might have paid well.

The Gotham race I got the pace scenario bang on with the #13 and #14 going for the lead but flattered as the big 20-1+ long shot on the #12 came up to upset everyone. That race was the most challenging race of the 3 preps today.

The San Felipe seemed logical too with the #3 winning. Didn’t release (I’m dumb this way) that the #2 was scratched so I wasn’t rooting for anything besides the horses I had underneath.

Anyways great action this weekend and it’s only going to get better from here.

ranchwest · 03-04-2023, 07:37 PM

In the Gotham, 12 of 14 horses had 5 or more Quirin speed points. That leaves the 12 and the 15. 12 was clearly better than the 15.

03-04-2023, 06:10 PM	#4
CheckMark Conley Join Date: Sep 2018 Location: Fergus, Canada Posts: 1,777	Damn Forte looked cooked heading around the 3/4 but dug in turning for home to go away. That exacta was poor but then again not surprising since Forte was on top just needed that #9 for 2nd as it might have paid well. The Gotham race I got the pace scenario bang on with the #13 and #14 going for the lead but flattered as the big 20-1+ long shot on the #12 came up to upset everyone. That race was the most challenging race of the 3 preps today. The San Felipe seemed logical too with the #3 winning. Didn’t release (I’m dumb this way) that the #2 was scratched so I wasn’t rooting for anything besides the horses I had underneath. Anyways great action this weekend and it’s only going to get better from here. __________________ Life is an adventure, enjoy it and live every day as if it were your last- Barb Craven

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03-04-2023, 12:19 PM	#1
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	Gotham I have NOT seen a more difficult race to figure in quite some time. MANY improving here but MOST on Maiden races. Speed from the outside...can it get over? Too many questions in this one will have to just watch. Any insight I missed? __________________ Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind."

03-04-2023, 01:01 PM	#2
CheckMark Conley Join Date: Sep 2018 Location: Fergus, Canada Posts: 1,777	Nope you seem to be on the same page as I see it Off track conditions (Muddy) so everyone here will try to bid for the lead so they don't get mud thrown at them lol Lots of early speed in this race as everyone is E or E/P except for #1 #15 (P) and #2 (S) so will be interesting to see the early fractions here This race will offer a lot of value regardless of the bet you do due to the big field and also this racing being wide open I think the #13 and #14 will go right to the front and #14 best at 80% lead projection according to me The bet I decided to do was $5 Exacta Box 5-10-11-13-14 which does cover the #13 and #14 along with the other 3 contenders I like here Going to be a good race along with the Fountain of Youth over at Gulfstream which Forte towers over and the San Felipe stakes where I think that race too might offer some value Picks for those races FOY GP: $12 Exacta 4/2-3-5-6-7-8-9-10 SFS SA: $16 Exacta 2/1-3-7-8-9-10 Good luck to all! __________________ Life is an adventure, enjoy it and live every day as if it were your last- Barb Craven

03-04-2023, 05:07 PM	#3
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	12 11 6 13 at the wire winner 23/1 __________________ Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind."

03-04-2023, 07:37 PM	#5
ranchwest Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 3,489	In the Gotham, 12 of 14 horses had 5 or more Quirin speed points. That leaves the 12 and the 15. 12 was clearly better than the 15.